In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the time series data into supervised learning sequences regarding industrial data's features. The main innovation of this paper consists in introducing the concepts of periodic measurement and time window in the industrial prediction problem, especially considering industrial data with time series characteristics. Experiments using real-world datasets show that the prediction accuracy is improved, 54.05% higher than that of traditional LSTM algorithm.
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a well-known method used widely on sequence learning and time series prediction. In this paper we deployed stacked LSTM model in an application of weather forecasting. We propose a 2-layer spatio-temporal stacked LSTM model which consists of independent LSTM models per location in the first LSTM layer. Subsequently, the input of the second LSTM layer is formed based on the combination of the hidden states of the first layer LSTM models. The experiments show that by utilizing the spatial information the prediction performance of the stacked LSTM model improves i…
Technology and Engineering Center for Space Utilization, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院空间应用工程与技术中心）；University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学）
In this paper, we propose a novel model for time series prediction in which difference-attention LSTM model and error-correction LSTM model are respectively employed and combined in a cascade way. While difference-attention LSTM model introduces a difference feature to perform attention in traditional LSTM to focus on the obvious changes in time series. Error-correction LSTM model refines the prediction error of difference-attention LSTM model to further improve the prediction accuracy. Finally, we design a training strategy to jointly train the both models simultaneously. With additional diff…
Short-term traffic forecasting based on deep learning methods, especially recurrent neural networks (RNN), has received much attention in recent years. However, the potential of RNN-based models in traffic forecasting has not yet been fully exploited in terms of the predictive power of spatial-temporal data and the capability of handling missing data. In this paper, we focus on RNN-based models and attempt to reformulate the way to incorporate RNN and its variants into traffic prediction models. A stacked bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM network architecture (SBU-LSTM) is proposed to assi…
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）
In this paper, we use the house price data ranging from January 2004 to October 2016 to predict the average house price of November and December in 2016 for each district in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. We apply Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model to generate the baseline while LSTM networks to build prediction model. These algorithms are compared in terms of Mean Squared Error. The result shows that the LSTM model has excellent properties with respect to predict time series. Also, stateful LSTM networks and stack LSTM networks are employed to further study the improve…
Institute of Information Science, Beijing Jiaotong University（北京交通大学信息科学研究所）；Microsoft Multimedia（微软多媒体）
Time series prediction with deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), have scored significant achievements in recent years. Despite the fact that the LSTMs can help to capture long-term dependencies, its ability to pay different degree of attention on sub-window feature within multiple time-steps is insufficient. To address this issue, an evolutionary attention-based LSTM training with competitive random search is proposed for multivariate time series prediction. By transferring shared parameters, an evolutionary attention learning approach is introduced…
Prediction of user traffic in cellular networks has attracted profound attention for improving resource utilization. In this paper, we study the problem of network traffic traffic prediction and classification by employing standard machine learning and statistical learning time series prediction methods, including long short-term memory (LSTM) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), respectively. We present an extensive experimental evaluation of the designed tools over a real network traffic dataset. Within this analysis, we explore the impact of different parameters to the effe…
Department of Mathematics；Statistics, Texas A\&M University - Corpus Christ, 6300 Ocean Dr., Corpus Christi, TX 78412, USA
Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from diverse fields such as financial mathematics and machine learning in the attempt of making trustworthy predictions on such markets. However, the accuracy of such techniques had not been adequate until artificial neural network (ANN) frameworks were developed. Moreover, making accurate real-time predictions of financial time series is highly subjective to the ANN a…
California PATH, University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校加州合作伙伴先进运输技术项目（PATH））；Tsinghua University（清华大学）；University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）
As autonomous vehicles (AVs) need to interact with other road users, it is of importance to comprehensively understand the dynamic traffic environment, especially the future possible trajectories of surrounding vehicles. This paper presents an algorithm for long-horizon trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles using a dual long short term memory (LSTM) network, which is capable of effectively improving prediction accuracy in strongly interactive driving environments. In contrast to traditional approaches which require trajectory matching and manual feature selection, this method can autom…
Hainan University（海南大学）；University of Chinese Academy of Science（中国科学院大学）
Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we define the traffic data time singularity ratio in the dropout module and propose a combination prediction method based on the improved long short-term memory neural network and time series autoregressive integrated moving average model (SDLSTM-ARIMA), which is derived from the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) model. It compares the traffic data time singularity …
Seoul National University（首尔国立大学）；Department of Computational Science（计算科学系）；Department of Mathematics（数学系）
Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many researchers have used deep learning methods to predict financial time series with various models in recent years. In this paper, we will compare various deep learning models, such as multilayer perceptron (MLP), one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D CNN), stacked long shor…
Texas Tech University（德克萨斯理工大学）；Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）
Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has been reported that artificial Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) with memory, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are superior compared to Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) with a large margin. The LSTM-based models incorporate additional "gates" for the purpose of memorizing longer sequences of input data. The major question is that whether th…
Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati（印度古瓦哈蒂印度理工学院）；Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur（印度克勒格布尔印度理工学院）；UNSW Sydney（新南威尔士大学悉尼分校）
Air pollution has a wide range of implications on agriculture, economy, road accidents, and health. In this paper, we use novel deep learning methods for short-term (multi-step-ahead) air-quality prediction in selected parts of Delhi, India. Our deep learning methods comprise of long short-term memory (LSTM) network models which also include some recent versions such as bidirectional-LSTM and encoder-decoder LSTM models. We use a multivariate time series approach that attempts to predict air quality for 10 prediction horizons covering total of 80 hours and provide a long-term (one month ahead)…
Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we consider the design of a trading strategy that performs portfolio optimization using the LSTM stock price prediction for four different companies. We then customize the loss function used to train the LSTM to increase the profit earned. Moreover, we propose a data driven approach for optimal selection of window length and multi-step prediction length, and con…
School of Information Technology, University of Cincinnati（辛辛那提大学信息技术学院）；School of Computing and Informatics, University of Louisiana at Lafayette（路易斯安那大学拉法叶分校计算与信息学院）
Spatiotemporal sequence prediction is an important problem in deep learning. We study next-frame(s) video prediction using a deep-learning-based predictive coding framework that uses convolutional, long short-term memory (convLSTM) modules. We introduce a novel reduced-gate convolutional LSTM(rgcLSTM) architecture that requires a significantly lower parameter budget than a comparable convLSTM. By using a single multi-function gate, our reduced-gate model achieves equal or better next-frame(s) prediction accuracy than the original convolutional LSTM while using a smaller parameter budget, there…
In this paper, the performance of three deep learning methods for predicting short-term evolution and for reproducing the long-term statistics of a multi-scale spatio-temporal Lorenz 96 system is examined. The methods are: echo state network (a type of reservoir computing, RC-ESN), deep feed-forward artificial neural network (ANN), and recurrent neural network with long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM). This Lorenz 96 system has three tiers of nonlinearly interacting variables representing slow/large-scale ($X$), intermediate ($Y$), and fast/small-scale ($Z$) processes. For training or testing, on…
We conduct a post hoc analysis of solar flare predictions made by a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model employing data in the form of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) parameters calculated from data in proximity to the magnetic polarity inversion line where the flares originate. We train the the LSTM model for binary classification to provide a prediction score for the probability of M/X class flares to occur in next hour. We then develop a dimension-reduction technique to reduce the dimensions of SHARP parameter (LSTM inputs) and demonstrate the different patterns of SHARP para…
University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；Nokia Bell Labs（诺基亚贝尔实验室）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）；Nokia Digital Health - Withings（诺基亚数字健康-Withings）
We analyse multimodal time-series data corresponding to weight, sleep and steps measurements. We focus on predicting whether a user will successfully achieve his/her weight objective. For this, we design several deep long short-term memory (LSTM) architectures, including a novel cross-modal LSTM (X-LSTM), and demonstrate their superiority over baseline approaches. The X-LSTM improves parameter efficiency by processing each modality separately and allowing for information flow between them by way of recurrent cross-connections. We present a general hyperparameter optimisation technique for X-LS…
In the peer to peer (P2P) lending platform, investors hope to maximize their return while minimizing the risk through a comprehensive understanding of the P2P market. A low and stable average default rate across all the borrowers denotes a healthy P2P market and provides investors more confidence in a promising investment. Therefore, having a powerful model to describe the trend of the default rate in the P2P market is crucial. Different from previous studies that focus on modeling the default rate at the individual level, in this paper, we are the first to comprehensively explore the monthly …
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）
Over the past decade, several approaches have been introduced for short-term traffic prediction. However, providing fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks where numerous detectors are geographically deployed to collect traffic data is still an open issue. To address this issue, in this paper, we formulate the problem of customizing an LSTM model for a single detector into a finite Markov decision process and then introduce an Automatic LSTM Customization (ALC) algorithm to automatically customize an LSTM model for a single detector such that the corresponding p…
University of Louisiana at Lafayette（路易斯安那大学拉斐特分校）
The problem of video frame prediction has received much interest due to its relevance to many computer vision applications such as autonomous vehicles or robotics. Supervised methods for video frame prediction rely on labeled data, which may not always be available. In this paper, we provide a novel unsupervised deep-learning method called Inception-based LSTM for video frame prediction. The general idea of inception networks is to implement wider networks instead of deeper networks. This network design was shown to improve the performance of image classification. The proposed method is evalua…
ADVA Optical Networking SE（ADVA光网络公司）；Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel（基尔大学）
A hybrid prognostic model based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed to predict the laser remaining useful life (RUL). The experimental results show that it outperforms the conventional methods.
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）
Much sequential data exhibits highly non-uniform information distribution. This cannot be correctly modeled by traditional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). To address that, recent works have extended LSTM by adding more activations between adjacent inputs. However, the approaches often use a fixed depth, which is at the step of the most information content. This one-size-fits-all worst-case approach is not satisfactory, because when little information is distributed to some steps, shallow structures can achieve faster convergence and consume less computation resource. In this paper, we develop a…
COMSATS University Islamabad（COMSATS伊斯兰堡大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）；Arab Open University-Palestine（阿拉伯开放大学巴勒斯坦分校）；Jashore University of Science and Technology（杰索尔科技大学）
Approximately, 50 million people in the world are affected by epilepsy. For patients, the anti-epileptic drugs are not always useful and these drugs may have undesired side effects on a patient's health. If the seizure is predicted the patients will have enough time to take preventive measures. The purpose of this work is to investigate the application of bidirectional LSTM for seizure prediction. In this paper, we trained EEG data from canines on a double Bidirectional LSTM layer followed by a fully connected layer. The data was provided in the form of a Kaggle competition by American Epileps…
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）；Simula Research Laboratory（西穆拉研究院）
Short-term traffic speed prediction has been an important research topic in the past decade, and many approaches have been introduced. However, providing fine-grained, accurate, and efficient traffic-speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks where numerous traffic detectors are deployed has not been well studied. In this paper, we propose DistPre, which is a distributed fine-grained traffic speed prediction scheme for large-scale transportation networks. To achieve fine-grained and accurate traffic-speed prediction, DistPre customizes a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model with a…
This paper improves wind power prediction via weather forecast-contextualized Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) models. Initially, only wind power data was fed to a generic LSTM, but this model performed poorly, with erratic and naive behavior observed on even low-variance data sections. To address this issue, weather forecast data was added to better contextualize the power data, and LSTM modifications were made to address specific model shortcomings. These models were tested through both a Normalized Mean Absolute Error and the Naive Ratio (NR), which is a score introduced by this…
University of California, Los Angeles（加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校）；Hohai University（河海大学）；Wanjiang University of Technology（皖江工学院）
Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for long, but improvement of forecast quality is still on the way. In this paper, we tried to provide a new method to do the forecast using the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning model, which aims in the field of time-series data. Utilizing LSTM, we collected the stream flow data from one hydrologic station in Tunxi, China, and precipitation data from 1…
Islamic Azad University North Tehran Branch（伊斯兰阿扎德大学北德黑兰分校）；Umeå University（于默奥大学）；Shahed Univerisity（沙希德大学）；Bogazici University（博阿齐奇大学）
Traffic flow characteristics are one of the most critical decision-making and traffic policing factors in a region. Awareness of the predicted status of the traffic flow has prime importance in traffic management and traffic information divisions. The purpose of this research is to suggest a forecasting model for traffic flow by using deep learning techniques based on historical data in the Intelligent Transportation Systems area. The historical data collected from the Caltrans Performance Measurement Systems (PeMS) for six months in 2019. The proposed prediction model is a Variational Long Sh…
The emergence of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) solves the problems of vanishing gradient and exploding gradient in traditional Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). LSTM, as a new type of RNN, has been widely used in various fields, such as text prediction, Wind Speed Forecast, depression prediction by EEG signals, etc. The results show that improving the efficiency of LSTM can help to improve the efficiency in other application areas. In this paper, we proposed an advanced LSTM algorithm, the Extreme Long Short-Term Memory (E-LSTM), which adds the inverse matrix part of Extreme Learning Machine (E…
Beyond Limits Inc（Beyond Limits公司）；University of Southern California（南加州大学）
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks have been widely used for time series forecasting problems. However, LSTMs are prone to overfitting and performance reduction during test phases. Several different regularization techniques have been shown in literature to prevent overfitting problems in neural networks. In this paper, first, we introduce application of kernel flow methods for time series forecasting in general. Afterward, we examine the effectiveness of applying kernel flow regularization on LSTM layers to avoid overfitting problems. We describe a regularization method by applying…
A Combination Model for Time Series Prediction using LSTM via Extracting Dynamic Features Based on Spatial Smoothing and Sequential General Variational Mode Decomposition
JiangXi University of Finances and Economics（江西财经大学）
Vital signs including heart rate, respiratory rate, body temperature and blood pressure, are critical in the clinical decision making process. Effective early prediction of vital signs help to alert medical practitioner ahead of time and may prevent adverse health outcomes. In this paper, we suggest a new approach called generative boosting, in order to effectively perform early prediction of vital signs. Generative boosting consists of a generative model, to generate synthetic data for next few time steps, and several predictive models, to directly make long-range predictions based on observe…
Bharati Vidyapeeth’s College of Engineering（巴拉蒂维迪亚佩特工程学院）
The electroencephalogram (EEG) is one of the most precious technologies to understand the happenings inside our brain and further understand our body's happenings. Automatic prediction of oncoming seizures using the EEG signals helps the doctors and clinical experts and reduces their workload. This paper proposes an end-to-end deep learning algorithm to fully automate seizure prediction's laborious task without any heavy pre-processing on the EEG data or feature engineering. The proposed deep learning network is a blend of signal processing and deep learning pipeline, which automates the seizu…
Air pollution is a worldwide issue that affects the lives of many people in urban areas. It is considered that the air pollution may lead to heart and lung diseases. A careful and timely forecast of the air quality could help to reduce the exposure risk for affected people. In this paper, we use a data-driven approach to predict air quality based on historical data. We compare three popular methods for time series prediction: Exponential Smoothing (ES), Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long short-term memory (LSTM). Considering prediction accuracy and time complexity, our …
Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow business managers to react in time, in order to prevent delays or undesirable situations. However, making such accurate forecasts is not easy: many factors may influence the required time to complete a process instance. In this paper, we propose an approach based on deep Recurrent Neural Networks (specifically LSTMs) that is able to exploit arbitrary informati…
Cornell University（康奈尔大学）；IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center（IBM托马斯·J·沃森研究中心）
Due to the increasing complexity of Integrated Circuits (ICs) and System-on-Chip (SoC), developing high-quality synthesis flows within a short market time becomes more challenging. We propose a general approach that precisely estimates the Quality-of-Result (QoR), such as delay and area, of unseen synthesis flows for specific designs. The main idea is training a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) regressor, where the flows are inputs and QoRs are ground truth. The RNN regressor is constructed with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and fully-connected layers. This approach is demonstrated with 1.2 mill…
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Google Brain（谷歌大脑）
The driving force behind the recent success of LSTMs has been their ability to learn complex and non-linear relationships. Consequently, our inability to describe these relationships has led to LSTMs being characterized as black boxes. To this end, we introduce contextual decomposition (CD), an interpretation algorithm for analysing individual predictions made by standard LSTMs, without any changes to the underlying model. By decomposing the output of a LSTM, CD captures the contributions of combinations of words or variables to the final prediction of an LSTM. On the task of sentiment analysi…
In this paper, we propose a deep learning based vehicle trajectory prediction technique which can generate the future trajectory sequence of surrounding vehicles in real time. We employ the encoder-decoder architecture which analyzes the pattern underlying in the past trajectory using the long short-term memory (LSTM) based encoder and generates the future trajectory sequence using the LSTM based decoder. This structure produces the $K$ most likely trajectory candidates over occupancy grid map by employing the beam search technique which keeps the $K$ locally best candidates from the decoder o…
This systematic mapping study investigates the use of Long short-term memory networks to predict time series data about air quality, trying to understand the reasons, characteristics and methods available in the scientific literature, identify gaps in the researched area and potential approaches that can be exploited on later studies.
With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will inevitably become more and more crucial in designing and managing the future grid, especially when it comes to an individual household level. Projecting the demand for electricity for a single energy user, as opposed to the aggregated power consumption of residential load on a wide scale, is difficult because of a considerable number of volatile and uncertain factors…
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications（北京邮电大学）；University of Nebraska-Lincoln（内布拉斯加大学林肯分校）
Anomaly detection for non-linear dynamical system plays an important role in ensuring the system stability. However, it is usually complex and has to be solved by large-scale simulation which requires extensive computing resources. In this paper, we propose a novel anomaly detection scheme in non-linear dynamical system based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to capture complex temporal changes of the time sequence and make multi-step predictions. Specifically, we first present the framework of LSTM-based anomaly detection in non-linear dynamical system, including data preprocessing, multi-step…
University of Ruhuna（鲁胡纳大学）；University of Oulu（奥卢大学）
Source traffic prediction is one of the main challenges of enabling predictive resource allocation in machine type communications (MTC). In this paper, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based deep learning approach is proposed for event-driven source traffic prediction. The source traffic prediction problem can be formulated as a sequence generation task where the main focus is predicting the transmission states of machine-type devices (MTDs) based on their past transmission data. This is done by restructuring the transmission data in a way that the LSTM network can identify the causal relations…
The early outcome prediction of ongoing or completed processes confers competitive advantage to organizations. The performance of classic machine learning and, more recently, deep learning techniques such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) on this type of classification problem has been thorougly investigated. Recently, much research focused on applying Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to time series problems including classification, however not yet to outcome prediction. The purpose of this paper is to close this gap and compare CNNs to LSTMs. Attention is another technique that, in combina…
The expected low market penetration of connected vehicles (CVs) in the near future could be a constraint in estimating traffic flow parameters, such as average travel speed of a roadway segment and average space headway between vehicles from the CV broadcasted data. This estimated traffic flow parameters from low penetration of connected vehicles become noisy compared to 100 percent penetration of CVs, and such noise reduces the real time prediction accuracy of a machine learning model, such as the accuracy of long short term memory (LSTM) model in terms of predicting traffic flow parameters. …
In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long short-term memory (LSTM)-based structures specifically designed to handle multi-dimensional historical data of trip time and distances simultaneously. Using it, we predict the future trip time and forecast the distance a vehicle will travel by concatenating the outputs of LSTM networks through fully connected layers. The second method uses attention-based LS…
Zhejiang University of Technology（浙江工业大学）；City University of Hong Kong（香港城市大学）
Predicting the potential relations between nodes in networks, known as link prediction, has long been a challenge in network science. However, most studies just focused on link prediction of static network, while real-world networks always evolve over time with the occurrence and vanishing of nodes and links. Dynamic network link prediction thus has been attracting more and more attention since it can better capture the evolution nature of networks, but still most algorithms fail to achieve satisfied prediction accuracy. Motivated by the excellent performance of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) i…
Nirma University（尼玛大学）；Institute for Plasma Research（等离子体研究所）
Major disruptions in tokamak pose a serious threat to the vessel and its surrounding pieces of equipment. The ability of the systems to detect any behavior that can lead to disruption can help in alerting the system beforehand and prevent its harmful effects. Many machine learning techniques have already been in use at large tokamaks like JET and ASDEX, but are not suitable for ADITYA, which is comparatively small. Through this work, we discuss a new real-time approach to predict the time of disruption in ADITYA tokamak and validate the results on an experimental dataset. The system uses selec…
The European Organization for Nuclear Research - CERN（欧洲核子研究中心）；AGH University of Science and Technology（AGH科技大学）
This article presents a development of web application for quench prediction in \gls{te-mpe-ee} at CERN. The authors describe an ELectrical Quality Assurance (ELQA) framework, a platform which was designed for rapid development of web integrated data analysis applications for different analysis needed during the hardware commissioning of the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). In second part the article describes a research carried out with the data collected from Quench Detection System by means of using an LSTM recurrent neural network. The article discusses and presents a conceptual work of implem…
Microsoft Maluuba（微软 Maluuba）；MILA, Université de Montréal（蒙特利尔大学 MILA）
Recurrent neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM) are important architectures for sequential prediction tasks. LSTMs (and RNNs in general) model sequences along the forward time direction. Bidirectional LSTMs (Bi-LSTMs) on the other hand model sequences along both forward and backward directions and are generally known to perform better at such tasks because they capture a richer representation of the data. In the training of Bi-LSTMs, the forward and backward paths are learned independently. We propose a variant of the Bi-LSTM architecture, which we call Variational Bi-LSTM, that c…
Accurate short-term passenger flow prediction in urban rail transit stations has great benefits for reasonably allocating resources, easing congestion, and reducing operational risks. However, compared with data-rich stations, the passenger flow prediction in newly-operated stations is limited by passenger flow data volume, which would reduce the prediction accuracy and increase the difficulty for station management and operation. Hence, how accurately predicting passenger flow in newly-operated stations with limited data is an urgent problem to be solved. Existing passenger flow prediction ap…
Short-term traffic forecasting based on deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, has received much attention in recent years. However, the potential of deep learning methods in traffic forecasting has not yet fully been exploited in terms of the depth of the model architecture, the spatial scale of the prediction area, and the predictive power of spatial-temporal data. In this paper, a deep stacked bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM (SBU- LSTM) neural network architecture is proposed, which considers both forward and backward dependencies in time seri…
Advancing Financial Risk Prediction Through Optimized LSTM Model Performance and Comparative Analysis
Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；Rutgers University（罗格斯大学）；University of Connecticut Business School（康涅狄格大学商学院）；Stevens Institute of Technological（史蒂文斯理工学院）
Toronto Metropolitan University（多伦多城市大学）；McMaster University（麦克马斯特大学）；Tarbiat Modares University（塔比阿特莫达勒斯大学）
Accurate traffic volume and speed prediction have a wide range of applications in transportation. It can result in useful and timely information for both travellers and transportation decision-makers. In this study, an Attention based Long Sort-Term Memory model (A-LSTM) is proposed to simultaneously predict traffic volume and speed in a critical rural road segmentation which connects Tehran to Chalus, the most tourist destination city in Iran. Moreover, this study compares the results of the A-LSTM model with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Both models show acceptable performance in …
Efficient and accurate remaining useful life prediction is a key factor for reliable and safe usage of lithium-ion batteries. This work trains a long short-term memory recurrent neural network model to learn from sequential data of discharge capacities at various cycles and voltages and to work as a cycle life predictor for battery cells cycled under different conditions. Using experimental data of first 60 - 80 cycles, our model achieves promising prediction accuracy on test sets of around 80 samples.
Cycling can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution and increase public health. With this in mind, policy-makers in cities worldwide seek to improve the bicycle mode-share. However, they often struggle against the fear and the perceived riskiness of cycling. Efforts to increase the bicycle's mode-share involve many measures, one of them being the improvement of cycling safety. This requires the analysis of the factors surrounding accidents and the outcome. However, meaningful analysis of cycling safety requires accurate bicycle flow data that is generally sparse or not even available…
