arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1902.03495eess.SYcs.SY
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评估复杂系统可靠性以用于预测性维护

Evaluating reliability of complex systems for Predictive maintenance

Arizona State University(亚利桑那州立大学)

Dongjin Lee, Rong Pan

AI总结:

本文提出了一种基于离散时间马尔可夫链和贝叶斯网络的预测性维护方案,用于评估复杂系统组件的可靠性,从而在系统和组件层面进行预测性维护调度。

摘要:

预测性维护(PdM)只能在系统状态的在线知识可用时实施,而这种知识的可用性得益于设备上的传感器部署。迄今为止,大多数研究在预测系统剩余使用寿命时,主要集中在单个组件系统或具有确定性可靠结构的系统上。这一假设在某些现实问题中不适用,因为复杂系统的可靠性结构存在不确定性。本文通过使用离散时间马尔可夫链(DTMC)来预测被监控组件的健康状况,并使用贝叶斯网络(BN)来建模多组件系统的可靠性结构,从而可以对系统及其组件的状态进行概率推断,并在两个层面进行预测性维护调度。

英文摘要:

Predictive Maintenance (PdM) can only be implemented when the online knowledge of system condition is available, and this has become available with deployment of on-equipment sensors. To date, most studies on predicting the remaining useful lifetime of a system have been focusing on either single-component systems or systems with deterministic reliability structures. This assumption is not applicable on some realistic problems, where there exist uncertainties in reliability structures of complex systems. In this paper, a PdM scheme is developed by employing a Discrete Time Markov Chain (DTMC) for forecasting the health of monitored components and a Bayesian Network (BN) for modeling the multi-component system reliability. Therefore, probabilistic inferences on both the system and its components status can be made and PdM can be scheduled on both levels.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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