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arXiv 1902.00995cs.LGstat.ML
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Minimax实验设计:弥合最小二乘回归的统计方法和最坏情况方法之间的差距

Minimax experimental design: Bridging the gap between statistical and worst-case approaches to least squares regression

UC Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);IBM Research – Almaden(IBM阿尔马登研究中心);ICSI(国际计算机科学研究所);Google Inc. Zürich(苏黎世谷歌公司);UC Santa Cruz(加州大学圣克鲁兹分校)

Michał Dereziński, Kenneth L. Clarkson, Michael W. Mahoney, Manfred K. Warmuth

摘要:

在实验设计中,我们给出了大量的向量,每个向量都有一个隐藏的响应值,我们假设这些值来自一个底层线性模型,我们希望选择一个小的向量子集,这样查询相应的响应将导致模型的良好估计。统计学中的经典方法是假设响应是线性的,加上零均值i.i.d.。高斯噪声,在这种情况下,目标是提供具有最小均方误差的无偏估计量(A-最优设计)。在计算机科学中更常见的一种相关方法是假设响应是任意但固定的,在这种情况下,目标是尽可能快地使用最坏情况输入的少量响应来估计最小二乘解。尽管进行了许多尝试,但事实证明,描述这两种方法之间的关系是难以捉摸的。我们解决这个问题,提出了一个框架,实验设计的反应是由一个任意的未知分布。我们发现,有一个有效的随机实验设计程序,实现强方差界的无偏估计,在这个一般模型中使用很少的响应。几乎紧的古典A-最优性准则的界限,以及最坏情况下的响应的改进的界限,出现作为这个结果的特殊情况。在这个过程中,我们开发了一个新的算法的联合抽样分布称为体积抽样,我们提出了一个新的独立同分布。重要性采样方法:反分数抽样。我们的分析的一个关键新颖性是通过控制i.i.d.的尾部行为来开发新的最坏情况回归的预期误差范围。通过体积取样的联合进行取样。我们的结果激发了一个新的极小极大最优性准则的实验设计,它可以被看作是一个扩展的A-最优设计和抽样的最坏情况回归。

英文摘要:

In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the corresponding responses will lead to a good estimator of the model. A classical approach in statistics is to assume the responses are linear, plus zero-mean i.i.d. Gaussian noise, in which case the goal is to provide an unbiased estimator with smallest mean squared error (A-optimal design). A related approach, more common in computer science, is to assume the responses are arbitrary but fixed, in which case the goal is to estimate the least squares solution using few responses, as quickly as possible, for worst-case inputs. Despite many attempts, characterizing the relationship between these two approaches has proven elusive. We address this by proposing a framework for experimental design where the responses are produced by an arbitrary unknown distribution. We show that there is an efficient randomized experimental design procedure that achieves strong variance bounds for an unbiased estimator using few responses in this general model. Nearly tight bounds for the classical A-optimality criterion, as well as improved bounds for worst-case responses, emerge as special cases of this result. In the process, we develop a new algorithm for a joint sampling distribution called volume sampling, and we propose a new i.i.d. importance sampling method: inverse score sampling. A key novelty of our analysis is in developing new expected error bounds for worst-case regression by controlling the tail behavior of i.i.d. sampling via the jointness of volume sampling. Our result motivates a new minimax-optimality criterion for experimental design which can be viewed as an extension of both A-optimal design and sampling for worst-case regression.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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