Low bit-width weights and activations are an effective way of combating the increasing need for both memory and compute power of Deep Neural Networks. In this work, we present a probabilistic training method for Neural Network with both binary weights and activations, called BLRNet. By embracing stochasticity during training, we circumvent the need to approximate the gradient of non-differentiable functions such as sign(), while still obtaining a fully Binary Neural Network at test time. Moreover, it allows for anytime ensemble predictions for improved performance and uncertainty estimates by sampling from the weight distribution. Since all operations in a layer of the BLRNet operate on random variables, we introduce stochastic versions of Batch Normalization and max pooling, which transfer well to a deterministic network at test time. We evaluate the BLRNet on multiple standardized benchmarks.
Instituto Paulo Gontijo（保罗·贡蒂霍研究所）；FGV/EAESP（巴西应用经济研究所（FGV/EAESP））
In this work we cast the problem of binary classification in terms of estimating a partition on Bernoulli data. When the explanatory variables are all categorical, the problem can be modelled using the language of boolean functions. We offer a probabilistic analysis of the problem, and propose two algorithms for learning boolean functions from binary data.
Probabilistic deep learning is deep learning that accounts for uncertainty, both model uncertainty and data uncertainty. It is based on the use of probabilistic models and deep neural networks. We distinguish two approaches to probabilistic deep learning: probabilistic neural networks and deep probabilistic models. The former employs deep neural networks that utilize probabilistic layers which can represent and process uncertainty; the latter uses probabilistic models that incorporate deep neural network components which capture complex non-linear stochastic relationships between the random va…
Federal University of São Carlos（圣卡洛斯联邦大学）；University of Western São Paulo（西圣保罗大学）；São Paulo State University（圣保罗州立大学）
Probabilistic-driven classification techniques extend the role of traditional approaches that output labels (usually integer numbers) only. Such techniques are more fruitful when dealing with problems where one is not interested in recognition/identification only, but also into monitoring the behavior of consumers and/or machines, for instance. Therefore, by means of probability estimates, one can take decisions to work better in a number of scenarios. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic-based Optimum Path Forest (OPF) classifier to handle with binary classification problems, and we show…
University of Almería（阿尔梅里亚大学）；Istituto Dalle Molle di Studi sull’Intelligenza Artificiale (IDSIA)（人工智能研究所（IDSIA））
InferPy is a Python package for probabilistic modeling with deep neural networks. It defines a user-friendly API that trades-off model complexity with ease of use, unlike other libraries whose focus is on dealing with very general probabilistic models at the cost of having a more complex API. In particular, this package allows to define, learn and evaluate general hierarchical probabilistic models containing deep neural networks in a compact and simple way. InferPy is built on top of Tensorflow Probability and Keras.
Peking University（北京大学）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；University of Leicester（莱斯特大学）
Recent studies have suggested that the cognitive process of the human brain is realized as probabilistic inference and can be further modeled by probabilistic graphical models like Markov random fields. Nevertheless, it remains unclear how probabilistic inference can be implemented by a network of spiking neurons in the brain. Previous studies have tried to relate the inference equation of binary Markov random fields to the dynamic equation of spiking neural networks through belief propagation algorithm and reparameterization, but they are valid only for Markov random fields with limited netwo…
Separation of competing speech is a key challenge in signal processing and a feat routinely performed by the human auditory brain. A long standing benchmark of the spectrogram approach to source separation is known as the ideal binary mask. Here, we train a convolutional deep neural network, on a two-speaker cocktail party problem, to make probabilistic predictions about binary masks. Our results approach ideal binary mask performance, illustrating that relatively simple deep neural networks are capable of robust binary mask prediction. We also illustrate the trade-off between prediction stati…
We present a probabilistic framework for nonlinearities, based on doubly truncated Gaussian distributions. By setting the truncation points appropriately, we are able to generate various types of nonlinearities within a unified framework, including sigmoid, tanh and ReLU, the most commonly used nonlinearities in neural networks. The framework readily integrates into existing stochastic neural networks (with hidden units characterized as random variables), allowing one for the first time to learn the nonlinearities alongside model weights in these networks. Extensive experiments demonstrate the…
Bayesian neural networks provide a direct and natural way to extend standard deep neural networks to support probabilistic deep learning through the use of probabilistic layers that, traditionally, encode weight (and bias) uncertainty. In particular, hybrid Bayesian neural networks utilize standard deterministic layers together with few probabilistic layers judicially positioned in the networks for uncertainty estimation. A major aspect and benefit of Bayesian inference is that priors, in principle, provide the means to encode prior knowledge for use in inference and prediction. However, it is…
University of British Columbia（不列颠哥伦比亚大学）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）
Treating neural network inputs and outputs as random variables, we characterize the structure of neural networks that can be used to model data that are invariant or equivariant under the action of a compact group. Much recent research has been devoted to encoding invariance under symmetry transformations into neural network architectures, in an effort to improve the performance of deep neural networks in data-scarce, non-i.i.d., or unsupervised settings. By considering group invariance from the perspective of probabilistic symmetry, we establish a link between functional and probabilistic sym…
We study probabilistic safety for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) under adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points, $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$, we study the probability w.r.t. the BNN posterior that all the points in $T$ are mapped to the same region $S$ in the output space. In particular, this can be used to evaluate the probability that a network sampled from the BNN is vulnerable to adversarial attacks. We rely on relaxation techniques from non-convex optimization to develop a method for computing a lower bound on probabilistic safety for BNNs, deriving explicit pr…
Universitat Politècnica de València（瓦伦西亚理工大学）；Universidad Autónoma de Madrid（马德里自治大学）
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art accuracy performance in many tasks. However, recent works have pointed out that the outputs provided by these models are not well-calibrated, seriously limiting their use in critical decision scenarios. In this work, we propose to use a decoupled Bayesian stage, implemented with a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN), to map the uncalibrated probabilities provided by a DNN to calibrated ones, consistently improving calibration. Our results evidence that incorporating uncertainty provides more reliable probabilistic models, a critical conditio…
Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their models cannot adapt to the driving policy of the predicted target human driver. In this work, we propose to overcome these two shortcomings by a Bayesian recurrent neural network model consisting of Bayesian-neural-network-based policy model and known physical model of the scenario. Bayesian neural network can ensemble complicated output distribution, enabling ri…
University of California Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Duke University School of Medicine（杜克大学医学院）；Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center（贝斯以色列女执事医疗中心）；Harvard Medical School（哈佛医学院）；Intel Labs（英特尔实验室）
We introduce a novel, probabilistic binary latent variable model to detect noisy or approximate repeats of patterns in sparse binary data. The model is based on the "Noisy-OR model" (Heckerman, 1990), used previously for disease and topic modelling. The model's capability is demonstrated by extracting structure in recordings from retinal neurons, but it can be widely applied to discover and model latent structure in noisy binary data. In the context of spiking neural data, the task is to "explain" spikes of individual neurons in terms of groups of neurons, "Cell Assemblies" (CAs), that often f…
The Alan Turing Institute（艾伦·图灵研究所）；University of Warwick（华威大学）
This paper demonstrates the application of Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks to Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) inverse problems. We consider the case of estimating an unknown chaotic dynamical system transition model from state observation data. Inverse problems for chaotic systems are numerically challenging as small perturbations in model parameters can cause very large changes in estimated forward trajectories. Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks can be used to simultaneously fit a model and estimate model parameter uncertainty. Knowledge of model parameter uncertainty can then be i…
Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）
In neural architecture search (NAS), the space of neural network architectures is automatically explored to maximize predictive accuracy for a given task. Despite the success of recent approaches, most existing methods cannot be directly applied to large scale problems because of their prohibitive computational complexity or high memory usage. In this work, we propose a Probabilistic approach to neural ARchitecture SEarCh (PARSEC) that drastically reduces memory requirements while maintaining state-of-the-art computational complexity, making it possible to directly search over more complex arc…
Zhejiang University（浙江大学）；Singapore Management University（新加坡管理大学）；Huawei International Pte Ltd（华为国际私人有限公司）；National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）
Neural networks are becoming a popular tool for solving many real-world problems such as object recognition and machine translation, thanks to its exceptional performance as an end-to-end solution. However, neural networks are complex black-box models, which hinders humans from interpreting and consequently trusting them in making critical decisions. Towards interpreting neural networks, several approaches have been proposed to extract simple deterministic models from neural networks. The results are not encouraging (e.g., low accuracy and limited scalability), fundamentally due to the limited…
Bigo Inc.（Bigo公司）；Beihang University（北京航空航天大学）；IBM China CIC（IBM中国创新中心）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen（香港中文大学（深圳））
We present a probabilistic forecasting framework based on convolutional neural network for multiple related time series forecasting. The framework can be applied to estimate probability density under both parametric and non-parametric settings. More specifically, stacked residual blocks based on dilated causal convolutional nets are constructed to capture the temporal dependencies of the series. Combined with representation learning, our approach is able to learn complex patterns such as seasonality, holiday effects within and across series, and to leverage those patterns for more accurate for…
Though neural network models demonstrate impressive performance, we do not understand exactly how these black-box models make individual predictions. This drawback has led to substantial research devoted to understand these models in areas such as robustness, interpretability, and generalization ability. In this paper, we consider the problem of exploring the prediction level sets of a classifier using probabilistic programming. We define a prediction level set to be the set of examples for which the predictor has the same specified prediction confidence with respect to some arbitrary data dis…
Language Technologies Institute（语言技术研究所）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）
In this paper, we propose a probabilistic parsing model, which defines a proper conditional probability distribution over non-projective dependency trees for a given sentence, using neural representations as inputs. The neural network architecture is based on bi-directional LSTM-CNNs which benefits from both word- and character-level representations automatically, by using combination of bidirectional LSTM and CNN. On top of the neural network, we introduce a probabilistic structured layer, defining a conditional log-linear model over non-projective trees. We evaluate our model on 17 different…
University of Wisconsin-Madison（威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校）；University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）
We consider the problem of decomposing a higher-order tensor with binary entries. Such data problems arise frequently in applications such as neuroimaging, recommendation system, topic modeling, and sensor network localization. We propose a multilinear Bernoulli model, develop a rank-constrained likelihood-based estimation method, and obtain the theoretical accuracy guarantees. In contrast to continuous-valued problems, the binary tensor problem exhibits an interesting phase transition phenomenon according to the signal-to-noise ratio. The error bound for the parameter tensor estimation is est…
We propose a quantum representation of binary classification trees with binary features based on a probabilistic approach. By using the quantum computer as a processor for probability distributions, a probabilistic traversal of the decision tree can be realized via measurements of a quantum circuit. We describe how tree inductions and the prediction of class labels of query data can be integrated into this framework. An on-demand sampling method enables predictions with a constant number of classical memory slots, independent of the tree depth. We experimentally study our approach using both a…
With deep neural networks providing state-of-the-art machine learning models for numerous machine learning tasks, quantifying the robustness of these models has become an important area of research. However, most of the research literature merely focuses on the \textit{worst-case} setting where the input of the neural network is perturbed with noises that are constrained within an $\ell_p$ ball; and several algorithms have been proposed to compute certified lower bounds of minimum adversarial distortion based on such worst-case analysis. In this paper, we address these limitations and extend t…
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）；Aalborg University（奥尔堡大学）
Recent advances in statistical inference have significantly expanded the toolbox of probabilistic modeling. Historically, probabilistic modeling has been constrained to (i) very restricted model classes where exact or approximate probabilistic inference were feasible, and (ii) small or medium-sized data sets which fit within the main memory of the computer. However, developments in variational inference, a general form of approximate probabilistic inference originated in statistical physics, are allowing probabilistic modeling to overcome these restrictions: (i) Approximate probabilistic infer…
Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are distributed trainable systems whose computing elements, or neurons, are characterized by internal analog dynamics and by digital and sparse synaptic communications. The sparsity of the synaptic spiking inputs and the corresponding event-driven nature of neural processing can be leveraged by energy-efficient hardware implementations, which can offer significant energy reductions as compared to conventional artificial neural networks (ANNs). The design of training algorithms lags behind the hardware implementations. Most existing training algorithms for SNNs ha…
We present a probabilistic variant of the recently introduced maxout unit. The success of deep neural networks utilizing maxout can partly be attributed to favorable performance under dropout, when compared to rectified linear units. It however also depends on the fact that each maxout unit performs a pooling operation over a group of linear transformations and is thus partially invariant to changes in its input. Starting from this observation we ask the question: Can the desirable properties of maxout units be preserved while improving their invariance properties ? We argue that our probabili…
The combination of a CNN detector and a search framework forms the basis for local object/pattern detection. To handle the waste of regional information and the defective compromise between efficiency and accuracy, this paper proposes a probabilistic model with a powerful search framework. By mapping an image into a probabilistic distribution of objects, this new model gives more informative outputs with less computation. The setting and analytic traits are elaborated in this paper, followed by a series of experiments carried out on FDDB, which show that the proposed model is sound, efficient …
University of Notre Dame（圣母大学）；Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence（艾伦人工智能研究所）
We present probabilistic neural programs, a framework for program induction that permits flexible specification of both a computational model and inference algorithm while simultaneously enabling the use of deep neural networks. Probabilistic neural programs combine a computation graph for specifying a neural network with an operator for weighted nondeterministic choice. Thus, a program describes both a collection of decisions as well as the neural network architecture used to make each one. We evaluate our approach on a challenging diagram question answering task where probabilistic neural pr…
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco（伯南布哥联邦农村大学）；Universidade Federal de Pernambuco（伯南布哥联邦大学）
Probabilistic Quantum Memory (PQM) is a data structure that computes the distance from a binary input to all binary patterns stored in superposition on the memory. This data structure allows the development of heuristics to speed up artificial neural networks architecture selection. In this work, we propose an improved parametric version of the PQM to perform pattern classification, and we also present a PQM quantum circuit suitable for Noisy Intermediate Scale Quantum (NISQ) computers. We present a classical evaluation of a parametric PQM network classifier on public benchmark datasets. We al…
We introduce a method for using deep neural networks to amortize the cost of inference in models from the family induced by universal probabilistic programming languages, establishing a framework that combines the strengths of probabilistic programming and deep learning methods. We call what we do "compilation of inference" because our method transforms a denotational specification of an inference problem in the form of a probabilistic program written in a universal programming language into a trained neural network denoted in a neural network specification language. When at test time this neu…
Probabilistic modeling enables combining domain knowledge with learning from data, thereby supporting learning from fewer training instances than purely data-driven methods. However, learning probabilistic models is difficult and has not achieved the level of performance of methods such as deep neural networks on many tasks. In this paper, we attempt to address this issue by presenting a method for learning the parameters of a probabilistic program using backpropagation. Our approach opens the possibility to building deep probabilistic programming models that are trained in a similar way to ne…
Representing maritime traffic patterns and detecting anomalies from them are key to vessel monitoring and maritime situational awareness. We propose a novel approach -- referred to as GeoTrackNet -- for maritime anomaly detection from AIS data streams. Our model exploits state-of-the-art neural network schemes to learn a probabilistic representation of AIS tracks and a contrario detection to detect abnormal events. The neural network provides a new means to capture complex and heterogeneous patterns in vessels' behaviours, while the \textit{a contrario} detector takes into account the fact tha…
In this paper, we propose another version of help-training approach by employing a Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) that improves the performance of the main discriminative classifier in the semi-supervised strategy. We introduce the PNN-training algorithm and use it for training the support vector machine (SVM) with a few numbers of labeled data and a large number of unlabeled data. We try to find the best labels for unlabeled data and then use SVM to enhance the classification rate. We test our method on two famous benchmarks and show the efficiency of our method in comparison with perviou…
In various applications, probabilistic forecasts are required to quantify the inherent uncertainty associated with the forecast. However, numerous modern forecasting methods are still designed to create deterministic forecasts. Transforming these deterministic forecasts into probabilistic forecasts is often challenging and based on numerous assumptions that may not hold in real-world situations. Therefore, the present article proposes a novel approach for creating probabilistic forecasts from arbitrary deterministic forecasts. In order to implement this approach, we use a conditional Invertibl…
Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）；Microsoft Research（微软研究院）
Neural networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in software, and it is therefore important to be able to verify their behavior. Because verifying the correctness of neural networks is extremely challenging, it is common to focus on the verification of other properties of these systems. One important property, in particular, is robustness. Most existing definitions of robustness, however, focus on the worst-case scenario where the inputs are adversarial. Such notions of robustness are too strong, and unlikely to be satisfied by-and verifiable for-practical neural networks. Observing that re…
Two of the most popular modelling paradigms in computer vision are feed-forward neural networks (FFNs) and probabilistic graphical models (GMs). Various connections between the two have been studied in recent works, such as e.g. expressing mean-field based inference in a GM as an FFN. This paper establishes a new connection between FFNs and GMs. Our key observation is that any FFN implements a certain approximation of a corresponding Bayesian network (BN). We characterize various benefits of having this connection. In particular, it results in a new learning algorithm for BNs. We validate the …
Institute of Electrical Engineering “Nikola Tesla”（“尼古拉·特斯拉”电气工程研究所）；EE Institute “Nikola Tesla”（“尼古拉·特斯拉”电气工程研究所）
In this paper, we introduce elements of probabilistic model that is suitable for modeling of learning algorithms in biologically plausible artificial neural networks framework. Model is based on two of the main concepts in quantum physics - a density matrix and the Born rule. As an example, we will show that proposed probabilistic interpretation is suitable for modeling of on-line learning algorithms for PSA, which are preferably realized by a parallel hardware based on very simple computational units. Proposed concept (model) can be used in the context of improving algorithm convergence speed…
Neural network pruning techniques reduce the number of parameters without compromising predicting ability of a network. Many algorithms have been developed for pruning both over-parameterized fully-connected networks (FCNs) and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), but analytical studies of capabilities and compression ratios of such pruned sub-networks are lacking. We theoretically study the performance of two pruning techniques (random and magnitude-based) on FCNs and CNNs. Given a target network {whose weights are independently sampled from appropriate distributions}, we provide a universal…
Facebook AI Research（脸书人工智能研究院）；Georgia Tech（佐治亚理工学院）
We propose a new class of probabilistic neural-symbolic models, that have symbolic functional programs as a latent, stochastic variable. Instantiated in the context of visual question answering, our probabilistic formulation offers two key conceptual advantages over prior neural-symbolic models for VQA. Firstly, the programs generated by our model are more understandable while requiring lesser number of teaching examples. Secondly, we show that one can pose counterfactual scenarios to the model, to probe its beliefs on the programs that could lead to a specified answer given an image. Our resu…
Uber AI Labs（优步人工智能实验室）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）
Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in which units in the network are represented by latent variables, and the weights between units are drawn conditionally on the values of the collection of those variables. This allows rich correlations between related weights, and can be seen as realizing a function prior with a Bayesian complexity regularizer ensuring simple solutions. We illustrate the result…
Google Research（谷歌研究院）；Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology（东京农工大学）
Neural vocoder using denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) has been improved by adaptation of the diffusion noise distribution to given acoustic features. In this study, we propose SpecGrad that adapts the diffusion noise so that its time-varying spectral envelope becomes close to the conditioning log-mel spectrogram. This adaptation by time-varying filtering improves the sound quality especially in the high-frequency bands. It is processed in the time-frequency domain to keep the computational cost almost the same as the conventional DDPM-based neural vocoders. Experimental results s…
Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their deterministic counter parts, Bayesian neural networks provide a direct and natural way to extend conventional deep neural networks to support probabilistic deep learning. However, it is nontrivial to understand, design and train Bayesian neural networks due to their complexities. We discuss the essentials of Bayesian neural networks including duality (deep neural ne…
Michigan State University（密歇根州立大学）；Argonne National Laboratory（阿贡国家实验室）；Brookhaven National Laboratory（布鲁克海文国家实验室）
Robust machine learning models with accurately calibrated uncertainties are crucial for safety-critical applications. Probabilistic machine learning and especially the Bayesian formalism provide a systematic framework to incorporate robustness through the distributional estimates and reason about uncertainty. Recent works have shown that approximate inference approaches that take the weight space uncertainty of neural networks to generate ensemble prediction are the state-of-the-art. However, architecture choices have mostly been ad hoc, which essentially ignores the epistemic uncertainty from…
Automatic Construction of Pattern Classifiers Capable of Continuous Incremental Learning and Unlearning Tasks Based on Compact-Sized Probabilistic Neural Network
Department of Computer Engineering, College of Science & Technology（计算机工程系，科学与技术学院）
