arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1802.01239cs.DScs.AIcs.LGmath.COstat.ML

Counting and Sampling from Markov Equivalent DAGs Using Clique Trees

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校);Sharif University of Technology(谢里夫理工大学);Georgia Institute of Technology(佐治亚理工学院);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)

AmirEmad Ghassami, Saber Salehkaleybar, Negar Kiyavash, Kun Zhang

英文摘要:

A directed acyclic graph (DAG) is the most common graphical model for representing causal relationships among a set of variables. When restricted to using only observational data, the structure of the ground truth DAG is identifiable only up to Markov equivalence, based on conditional independence relations among the variables. Therefore, the number of DAGs equivalent to the ground truth DAG is an indicator of the causal complexity of the underlying structure--roughly speaking, it shows how many interventions or how much additional information is further needed to recover the underlying DAG. In this paper, we propose a new technique for counting the number of DAGs in a Markov equivalence class. Our approach is based on the clique tree representation of chordal graphs. We show that in the case of bounded degree graphs, the proposed algorithm is polynomial time. We further demonstrate that this technique can be utilized for uniform sampling from a Markov equivalence class, which provides a stochastic way to enumerate DAGs in the equivalence class and may be needed for finding the best DAG or for causal inference given the equivalence class as input. We also extend our counting and sampling method to the case where prior knowledge about the underlying DAG is available, and present applications of this extension in causal experiment design and estimating the causal effect of joint interventions.

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