In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of latent variables that gives us the possibility to handle sensitivity of model to outliers and to allow a less restrictive modelling of missing data. Inference is processed through a Variational Bayesian Approximation and a Bayesian treatment is adopted for model learning, supervised classification and clustering.
University of Oxford（牛津大学）；CEREMADE, CNRS Université Paris-Dauphine（巴黎多芬大学CNRS-CEREMADE实验室）
We propose a variational autoencoder architecture to model both ignorable and nonignorable missing data using pattern-set mixtures as proposed by Little (1993). Our model explicitly learns to cluster the missing data into missingness pattern sets based on the observed data and missingness masks. Underpinning our approach is the assumption that the data distribution under missingness is probabilistically semi-supervised by samples from the observed data distribution. Our setup trades off the characteristics of ignorable and nonignorable missingness and can thus be applied to data of both types.…
Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the parametric fractional imputation of \cite{kim2011parametric} may be subject to bias under model misspecification. In this paper, we propose a novel semiparametric fractional imputation method using Gaussian mixture models. The proposed method is computationally efficient and leads to robust estimation. The proposed method is further extended to incorporate the cat…
Missing data problems arise in many applied research studies. They may jeopardize statistical inference of the model of interest, if the missing mechanism is nonignorable, that is, the missing mechanism depends on the missing values themselves even conditional on the observed data. With a nonignorable missing mechanism, the model of interest is often not identifiable without imposing further assumptions. We find that even if the missing mechanism has a known parametric form, the model is not identifiable without specifying a parametric outcome distribution. Although it is fundamental for valid…
Pattern-mixture models provide a transparent approach for handling missing data, where the full-data distribution is factorized in a way that explicitly shows the parts that can be estimated from observed data alone, and the parts that require identifying restrictions. We introduce a nonparametric estimator of the full-data distribution based on the pattern-mixture model factorization. Our approach uses the empirical observed-data distribution and augments it with a nonparametric estimator of the missing-data distributions under a given identifying restriction. Our results apply to a large cla…
We are concerned in clustering continuous data sets subject to non-ignorable missingness. We perform clustering with a specific semi-parametric mixture, under the assumption of conditional independence given the component. The mixture model isused for clustering and not for estimating the density of the full variables (observed and unobserved), thus we do not need other assumptions on the component distribution neither to specify the missingness mechanism. Estimation is performed by maximizing an extension of smoothed likelihood allowing missingness. This optimization is achieved by a Majoriza…
Identification of charged particles in a multilayer detector by the energy loss technique may also be achieved by the use of a neural network. The performance of the network becomes worse when a large fraction of information is missing, for instance due to detector inefficiencies. Algorithms which provide a way to impute missing information have been developed over the past years. Among the various approaches, we focused on normal mixtures models in comparison with standard mean imputation and multiple imputation methods. Further, to account for the intrinsic asymmetry of the energy loss data,…
Many panel studies collect refreshment samples---new, randomly sampled respondents who complete the questionnaire at the same time as a subsequent wave of the panel. With appropriate modeling, these samples can be leveraged to correct inferences for biases caused by non-ignorable attrition. We present such a model when the panel includes many categorical survey variables. The model relies on a Bayesian latent pattern mixture model, in which an indicator for attrition and the survey variables are modeled jointly via a latent class model. We allow the multinomial probabilities within classes to …
We present a nonparametric Bayesian joint model for multivariate continuous and categorical variables, with the intention of developing a flexible engine for multiple imputation of missing values. The model fuses Dirichlet process mixtures of multinomial distributions for categorical variables with Dirichlet process mixtures of multivariate normal distributions for continuous variables. We incorporate dependence between the continuous and categorical variables by (i) modeling the means of the normal distributions as component-specific functions of the categorical variables and (ii) forming dis…
In some contexts, mixture models can fit certain variables well at the expense of others in ways beyond the analyst's control. For example, when the data include some variables with non-trivial amounts of missing values, the mixture model may fit the marginal distributions of the nearly and fully complete variables at the expense of the variables with high fractions of missing data. Motivated by this setting, we present a mixture model for mixed ordinal and nominal data that splits variables into two groups, focus variables and remainder variables. The model allows the analyst to specify a ric…
In clinical trials, mixed effects models for repeated measures (MMRM) and pattern mixture models (PMM) are often used to analyze longitudinal continuous outcomes. We describe a simple missing data imputation algorithm for the MMRM that can be easily implemented in standard statistical software packages such as SAS PROC MI. We explore the relationship of the missing data distribution in the control-based and delta-adjusted PMMs with that in the MMRM, and suggest an efficient imputation algorithm for these PMMs. The unobserved values in PMMs can be imputed by subtracting the mean difference in t…
The sex ratio at birth (SRB) is defined as the ratio of male to female live births. The SRB imbalance in parts of the world over the past several decades is a direct consequence of sex-selective abortion, driven by the co-existence of son preference, readily available technology of prenatal sex determination, and fertility decline. Estimation and projection of the degree of SRB imbalance is complicated because of variability in SRB reference levels and because of the uncertainty associated with SRB observations. We develop Bayesian hierarchical time series mixture models for SRB estimation and…
During the semiconductor manufacturing process, predicting the yield of the semiconductor is an important problem. Early detection of defective product production in the manufacturing process can save huge production cost. The data generated from the semiconductor manufacturing process have characteristics of highly non-normal distributions, complicated missing patterns and high missing rate, which complicate the prediction of the yield. We propose Dirichlet process - naive Bayes model (DPNB), a classification method based on the mixtures of Dirichlet process and naive Bayes model. Since the D…
We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced datasets and large Bayesian VARs with variables in multiple frequencies. A key insight underlying the proposed approach is that the joint distribution of the missing data conditional on the observed data is Gaussian. Moreover, the inverse covariance or precision matrix of this conditional distribution is sparse, and this special structure can be exploited to …
We develop a prior probability model for temporal Poisson process intensities through structured mixtures of Erlang densities with common scale parameter, mixing on the integer shape parameters. The mixture weights are constructed through increments of a cumulative intensity function which is modeled nonparametrically with a gamma process prior. Such model specification provides a novel extension of Erlang mixtures for density estimation to the intensity estimation setting. The prior model structure supports general shapes for the point process intensity function, and it also enables effective…
Multiple imputation (MI) is a popular method for dealing with missing values. One main advantage of MI is to separate the imputation phase and the analysis one. However, both are related since they are based on distribution assumptions that have to be consistent. This point is well known as congeniality. In this paper, we discuss congeniality for clustering on continuous data. First, we theoretically highlight how two joint modeling (JM) MI methods (JM-GL and JM-DP) are congenial with various clustering methods. Then, we propose a new fully conditional specification (FCS) MI method with the sa…
We introduce the concept of pattern graphs--directed acyclic graphs representing how response patterns are associated. A pattern graph represents an identifying restriction that is nonparametrically identified/saturated and is often a missing not at random restriction. We introduce a selection model and a pattern mixture model formulations using the pattern graphs and show that they are equivalent. A pattern graph leads to an inverse probability weighting estimator as well as an imputation-based estimator. We also study the semi-parametric efficiency theory and derive a multiply-robust estimat…
In this paper, we are concerned with obtaining distribution-free concentration inequalities for mixture of independent Bernoulli variables that incorporate a notion of variance. Missing mass is the total probability mass associated to the outcomes that have not been seen in a given sample which is an important quantity that connects density estimates obtained from a sample to the population for discrete distributions. Therefore, we are specifically motivated to apply our method to study the concentration of missing mass - which can be expressed as a mixture of Bernoulli - in a novel way. We no…
Functional data analysis (FDA) is an important modern paradigm for handling infinite-dimensional data. An important task in FDA is model-based clustering, which organizes functional populations into groups via subpopulation structures. The most common approach for model-based clustering of functional data is via mixtures of linear mixed-effects models. The mixture of linear mixed-effects models (MLMM) approach requires a computationally intensive algorithm for estimation. We provide a novel Gaussian mixture model (GMM) characterization of the model-based clustering problem. We demonstrate that…
University of California Los Angeles（加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校）
Decision trees are a popular family of models due to their attractive properties such as interpretability and ability to handle heterogeneous data. Concurrently, missing data is a prevalent occurrence that hinders performance of machine learning models. As such, handling missing data in decision trees is a well studied problem. In this paper, we tackle this problem by taking a probabilistic approach. At deployment time, we use tractable density estimators to compute the "expected prediction" of our models. At learning time, we fine-tune parameters of already learned trees by minimizing their "…
Università degli Studi di Perugia（佩鲁贾大学）；University College Dublin（都柏林大学学院）
Gaussian Mixture models (GMMs) are a powerful tool for clustering, classification and density estimation when clustering structures are embedded in the data. The presence of missing values can largely impact the GMMs estimation process, thus handling missing data turns out to be a crucial point in clustering, classification and density estimation. Several techniques have been developed to impute the missing values before model estimation. Among these, multiple imputation is a simple and useful general approach to handle missing data. In this paper we propose two different methods to fit Gaussi…
In data-mining applications, we are frequently faced with a large fraction of missing entries in the data matrix, which is problematic for most discriminant machine learning algorithms. A solution that we explore in this paper is the use of a generative model (a mixture of Gaussians) to compute the conditional expectation of the missing variables given the observed variables. Since training a Gaussian mixture with many different patterns of missing values can be computationally very expensive, we introduce a spanning-tree based algorithm that significantly speeds up training in these condition…
Imputation and propensity score weighting are two popular techniques for handling missing data. We address these problems using the regularized M-estimation techniques in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Specifically, we first use the kernel ridge regression to develop imputation for handling item nonresponse. While this nonparametric approach is potentially promising for imputation, its statistical properties are not investigated in the literature. Under some conditions on the order of the tuning parameter, we first establish the root-$n$ consistency of the kernel ridge regression imputa…
Multi-label classification has received considerable interest in recent years. Multi-label classifiers have to address many problems including: handling large-scale datasets with many instances and a large set of labels, compensating missing label assignments in the training set, considering correlations between labels, as well as exploiting unlabeled data to improve prediction performance. To tackle datasets with a large set of labels, embedding-based methods have been proposed which seek to represent the label assignments in a low-dimensional space. Many state-of-the-art embedding-based meth…
Machine learning with missing data has been approached in two different ways, including feature imputation where missing feature values are estimated based on observed values, and label prediction where downstream labels are learned directly from incomplete data. However, existing imputation models tend to have strong prior assumptions and cannot learn from downstream tasks, while models targeting label prediction often involve heuristics and can encounter scalability issues. Here we propose GRAPE, a graph-based framework for feature imputation as well as label prediction. GRAPE tackles the mi…
Fondazione Bruno Kessler Research Institute（布鲁诺·凯斯勒基金会研究所）；Humanitas Research Hospital（胡曼尼塔斯研究医院）
Blood lactate concentration is a strong indicator of mortality risk in critically ill patients. While frequent lactate measurements are necessary to assess patient's health state, the measurement is an invasive procedure that can increase risk of hospital-acquired infections. For this reason we formally define the problem of lactate prediction as a clinically relevant benchmark problem for machine learning community so as to assist clinical decision making in blood lactate testing. Accordingly, we demonstrate the relevant challenges of the problem and its data in addition to the adopted soluti…
Data mining and machine learning techniques such as classification and regression trees (CART) represent a promising alternative to conventional logistic regression for propensity score estimation. Whereas incomplete data preclude the fitting of a logistic regression on all subjects, CART is appealing in part because some implementations allow for incomplete records to be incorporated in the tree fitting and provide propensity score estimates for all subjects. Based on theoretical considerations, we argue that the automatic handling of missing data by CART may however not be appropriate. Using…
Accurate and robust tracking of surrounding road participants plays an important role in autonomous driving. However, there is usually no prior knowledge of the number of tracking targets due to object emergence, object disappearance and false alarms. To overcome this challenge, we propose a generic vehicle tracking framework based on modified mixture particle filter, which can make the number of tracking targets adaptive to real-time observations and track all the vehicles within sensor range simultaneously in a uniform architecture without explicit data association. Each object corresponds t…
National Remote Sensing Centre (ISRO), India（印度国家遥感中心（ISRO））
Decision making from data involves identifying a set of attributes that contribute to effective decision making through computational intelligence. The presence of missing values greatly influences the selection of right set of attributes and this renders degradation in classification accuracies of the classifiers. As missing values are quite common in data collection phase during field experiments or clinical trails appropriate handling would improve the classifier performance. In this paper we present a review of recently developed missing value imputation algorithms and compare their perfor…
Missing value imputation is a challenging and well-researched topic in data mining. In this paper, we propose IFGAN, a missing value imputation algorithm based on Feature-specific Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). Our idea is intuitive yet effective: a feature-specific generator is trained to impute missing values, while a discriminator is expected to distinguish the imputed values from observed ones. The proposed architecture is capable of handling different data types, data distributions, missing mechanisms, and missing rates. It also improves post-imputation analysis by preserving inte…
Alan Turing Institute（艾伦·图灵研究所）；University Carlos III in Madrid（马德里卡洛斯三世大学）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；Uber AI Labs（优步人工智能实验室）；Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）
Variational autoencoders (VAEs), as well as other generative models, have been shown to be efficient and accurate for capturing the latent structure of vast amounts of complex high-dimensional data. However, existing VAEs can still not directly handle data that are heterogenous (mixed continuous and discrete) or incomplete (with missing data at random), which is indeed common in real-world applications. In this paper, we propose a general framework to design VAEs suitable for fitting incomplete heterogenous data. The proposed HI-VAE includes likelihood models for real-valued, positive real val…
Toshiba Corporation（东芝公司）；The Institute of Statistical Mathematics（统计数学研究所）
Sparse regression such as the Lasso has achieved great success in handling high-dimensional data. However, one of the biggest practical problems is that high-dimensional data often contain large amounts of missing values. Convex Conditioned Lasso (CoCoLasso) has been proposed for dealing with high-dimensional data with missing values, but it performs poorly when there are many missing values, so that the high missing rate problem has not been resolved. In this paper, we propose a novel Lasso-type regression method for high-dimensional data with high missing rates. We effectively incorporate me…
Data annotation is an essential stage in supervised learning. However, the annotation process is exhaustive and time consuming, specially for large datasets. Activities of Daily Living (ADL) recognition is an example of systems that exploit very large raw sensor data readings. In such systems, sensor readings are collected from activity-monitoring sensors in a 24/7 manner. The size of the generated dataset is so huge that it is almost impossible for a human annotator to give a certain label to every single instance in the dataset. This results in annotation gaps in the input data to the adopti…
UiT The Arctic University of Norway（挪威北极大学）；University Hospital of North Norway（北挪威大学医院）；Universidad Rey Juan Carlos（胡安·卡洛斯国王大学）
The time series cluster kernel (TCK) provides a powerful tool for analysing multivariate time series subject to missing data. TCK is designed using an ensemble learning approach in which Bayesian mixture models form the base models. Because of the Bayesian approach, TCK can naturally deal with missing values without resorting to imputation and the ensemble strategy ensures robustness to hyperparameters, making it particularly well suited for unsupervised learning. However, TCK assumes missing at random and that the underlying missingness mechanism is ignorable, i.e. uninformative, an assumptio…
Department of Computing Science Simon Fraser University（西蒙弗雷泽大学计算机科学系）
Missing data is a significant problem impacting all domains. State-of-the-art framework for minimizing missing data bias is multiple imputation, for which the choice of an imputation model remains nontrivial. We propose a multiple imputation model based on overcomplete deep denoising autoencoders. Our proposed model is capable of handling different data types, missingness patterns, missingness proportions and distributions. Evaluation on several real life datasets show our proposed model significantly outperforms current state-of-the-art methods under varying conditions while simultaneously im…
Standard methods for anomaly detection assume that all features are observed at both learning time and prediction time. Such methods cannot process data containing missing values. This paper studies five strategies for handling missing values in test queries: (a) mean imputation, (b) MAP imputation, (c) reduction (reduced-dimension anomaly detectors via feature bagging), (d) marginalization (for density estimators only), and (e) proportional distribution (for tree-based methods only). Our analysis suggests that MAP imputation and proportional distribution should give better results than mean i…
We consider the problem of recovering an expert's reward function with inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) when there are missing/incomplete state-action pairs or observations in the demonstrated trajectories. This issue of missing trajectory data or information occurs in many situations, e.g., GPS signals from vehicles moving on a road network are intermittent. In this paper, we propose a tractable approach to directly compute the log-likelihood of demonstrated trajectories with incomplete/missing data. Our algorithm is efficient in handling a large number of missing segments in the demonstr…
Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible to forecast in high-dimensional time series, and identify and classify novelties early, based on subtle changes in the trends. However, mainstream approaches to multi-variate time series predictions do not handle well cases when the ongoing forecast must include uncertainty, nor they are robust to missing data. We introduce a new architecture for time series …
UiT The Arctic University of Norway（挪威北极大学）；Universidad Rey Juan Carlos（胡安卡洛斯国王大学）
Similarity-based approaches represent a promising direction for time series analysis. However, many such methods rely on parameter tuning, and some have shortcomings if the time series are multivariate (MTS), due to dependencies between attributes, or the time series contain missing data. In this paper, we address these challenges within the powerful context of kernel methods by proposing the robust \emph{time series cluster kernel} (TCK). The approach taken leverages the missing data handling properties of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) augmented with informative prior distributions. An ensemb…
University of Arkansas（阿肯色大学）；Brigham Young University（杨百翰大学）
Many data mining and data analysis techniques operate on dense matrices or complete tables of data. Real-world data sets, however, often contain unknown values. Even many classification algorithms that are designed to operate with missing values still exhibit deteriorated accuracy. One approach to handling missing values is to fill in (impute) the missing values. In this paper, we present a technique for unsupervised learning called Unsupervised Backpropagation (UBP), which trains a multi-layer perceptron to fit to the manifold sampled by a set of observed point-vectors. We evaluate UBP with t…
