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arXiv 1708.06403cs.CY
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智能城市分析:公民家庭护理的集成学习预测

Smart City Analytics: Ensemble-Learned Prediction of Citizen Home Care

Casper Hansen, Christian Hansen, Stephen Alstrup, Christina Lioma

摘要:

我们提出了一种集成学习方法,预测市民收到的家庭护理的时间大幅增加。该方法是有监督的,并且使用线性(逻辑回归)或非线性(随机森林)分类器的不同集合。从2013年到2017年,哥本哈根每个接受家庭护理的公民(27,775名公民)的数据实验表明,预测可以达到类似健康相关领域报告的最先进性能(AUC=0.715)。我们进一步发现,竞争力的结果可以通过使用有限的信息进行培训,这是非常有用的,当完整的记录是不可访问或可用的。智能城市分析不一定需要完整的城市记录。据我们所知,这项初步研究是第一个预测智能城市分析的家庭护理大幅增加的研究。

英文摘要:

We present an ensemble learning method that predicts large increases in the hours of home care received by citizens. The method is supervised, and uses different ensembles of either linear (logistic regression) or non-linear (random forests) classifiers. Experiments with data available from 2013 to 2017 for every citizen in Copenhagen receiving home care (27,775 citizens) show that prediction can achieve state of the art performance as reported in similar health related domains (AUC=0.715). We further find that competitive results can be obtained by using limited information for training, which is very useful when full records are not accessible or available. Smart city analytics does not necessarily require full city records. To our knowledge this preliminary study is the first to predict large increases in home care for smart city analytics.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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