The majority of online display ads are served through real-time bidding (RTB) --- each ad display impression is auctioned off in real-time when it is just being generated from a user visit. To place an ad automatically and optimally, it is critical for advertisers to devise a learning algorithm to cleverly bid an ad impression in real-time. Most previous works consider the bid decision as a static optimization problem of either treating the value of each impression independently or setting a bid price to each segment of ad volume. However, the bidding for a given ad campaign would repeatedly happen during its life span before the budget runs out. As such, each bid is strategically correlated by the constrained budget and the overall effectiveness of the campaign (e.g., the rewards from generated clicks), which is only observed after the campaign has completed. Thus, it is of great interest to devise an optimal bidding strategy sequentially so that the campaign budget can be dynamically allocated across all the available impressions on the basis of both the immediate and future rewards. In this paper, we formulate the bid decision process as a reinforcement learning problem, where the state space is represented by the auction information and the campaign's real-time parameters, while an action is the bid price to set. By modeling the state transition via auction competition, we build a Markov Decision Process framework for learning the optimal bidding policy to optimize the advertising performance in the dynamic real-time bidding environment. Furthermore, the scalability problem from the large real-world auction volume and campaign budget is well handled by state value approximation using neural networks.
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(电子科技大学)
Bidding strategies that help advertisers determine bidding prices are receiving increasing attention as more and more ad impressions are sold through real-time bidding systems. This paper first describes the problem and challenges of optimizing bidding strategies for individual advertisers in real-time bidding display advertising. Then, several representative bidding strategies are introduced, especially the research advances and challenges of reinforcement learning-based bidding strategies. Further, we quantitatively evaluate the performance of several representative bidding strategies on the…
Alibaba Group(阿里巴巴集团);University College London(伦敦大学学院);Shanghai JiaoTong University(上海交通大学)
Real-time advertising allows advertisers to bid for each impression for a visiting user. To optimize specific goals such as maximizing revenue and return on investment (ROI) led by ad placements, advertisers not only need to estimate the relevance between the ads and user's interests, but most importantly require a strategic response with respect to other advertisers bidding in the market. In this paper, we formulate bidding optimization with multi-agent reinforcement learning. To deal with a large number of advertisers, we propose a clustering method and assign each cluster with a strategic b…
An Adaptable Budget Planner for Enhancing Budget-Constrained Auto-Bidding in Online Advertising
School of Computer Science, Peking University(北京大学计算机学院);Center on Frontiers of Computing Studies, Peking University(北京大学计算科学前沿中心);Alibaba Group(阿里巴巴集团)
Optimizing Search Advertising Strategies: Integrating Reinforcement Learning with Generalized Second-Price Auctions for Enhanced Ad Ranking and Bidding
Columbia University(哥伦比亚大学);University of Michigan(密歇根大学);University of California, Irvine(加利福尼亚大学尔湾分校)
Real-time bidding (RTB) is an important mechanism in online display advertising, where a proper bid for each page view plays an essential role for good marketing results. Budget constrained bidding is a typical scenario in RTB where the advertisers hope to maximize the total value of the winning impressions under a pre-set budget constraint. However, the optimal bidding strategy is hard to be derived due to the complexity and volatility of the auction environment. To address these challenges, in this paper, we formulate budget constrained bidding as a Markov Decision Process and propose a mode…
Texas A&M University(德克萨斯A&M大学);Rice University(莱斯大学);Samsung Research America(三星美国研究院);Samsung Electronics(三星电子)
Real-time bidding (RTB) has become a major paradigm of display advertising. Each ad impression generated from a user visit is auctioned in real time, where demand-side platform (DSP) automatically provides bid price usually relying on the ad impression value estimation and the optimal bid price determination. However, the current bid strategy overlooks large randomness of the user behaviors (e.g., click) and the cost uncertainty caused by the auction competition. In this work, we explicitly factor in the uncertainty of estimated ad impression values and model the risk preference of a DSP under…
In online display advertising, guaranteed contracts and real-time bidding (RTB) are two major ways to sell impressions for a publisher. Despite the increasing popularity of RTB, there is still half of online display advertising revenue generated from guaranteed contracts. Therefore, simultaneously selling impressions through both guaranteed contracts and RTB is a straightforward choice for a publisher to maximize its yield. However, deriving the optimal strategy to allocate impressions is not a trivial task, especially when the environment is unstable in real-world applications. In this paper,…
Real-Time Bidding (RTB) is an important mechanism in modern online advertising systems. Advertisers employ bidding strategies in RTB to optimize their advertising effects subject to various financial requirements, especially the return-on-investment (ROI) constraint. ROIs change non-monotonically during the sequential bidding process, and often induce a see-saw effect between constraint satisfaction and objective optimization. While some existing approaches show promising results in static or mildly changing ad markets, they fail to generalize to highly dynamic ad markets with ROI constraints,…
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(电子科技大学)
Real-time bidding (RTB) has become a critical way of online advertising. In RTB, an advertiser can participate in bidding ad impressions to display its advertisements. The advertiser determines every impression's bidding price according to its bidding strategy. Therefore, a good bidding strategy can help advertisers improve cost efficiency. This paper focuses on optimizing a single advertiser's bidding strategy using reinforcement learning (RL) in RTB. Unfortunately, it is challenging to optimize the bidding strategy through RL at the granularity of impression due to the highly dynamic nature …
Bidding optimization is one of the most critical problems in online advertising. Sponsored search (SS) auction, due to the randomness of user query behavior and platform nature, usually adopts keyword-level bidding strategies. In contrast, the display advertising (DA), as a relatively simpler scenario for auction, has taken advantage of real-time bidding (RTB) to boost the performance for advertisers. In this paper, we consider the RTB problem in sponsored search auction, named SS-RTB. SS-RTB has a much more complex dynamic environment, due to stochastic user query behavior and more complex bi…
Recently, auto-bidding technique has become an essential tool to increase the revenue of advertisers. Facing the complex and ever-changing bidding environments in the real-world advertising system (RAS), state-of-the-art auto-bidding policies usually leverage reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to generate real-time bids on behalf of the advertisers. Due to safety concerns, it was believed that the RL training process can only be carried out in an offline virtual advertising system (VAS) that is built based on the historical data generated in the RAS. In this paper, we argue that there exis…
HiBid: A Cross-Channel Constrained Bidding System with Budget Allocation by Hierarchical Offline Deep Reinforcement Learning
School of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology(北京理工大学计算机科学与技术学院);Meituan(美团);Institute for Advanced Algorithms Research(先进算法研究院)
Hierarchical Multi-agent Meta-Reinforcement Learning for Cross-channel Bidding
School of Computer Science and Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University(中山大学计算机科学与工程学院);School of Artificial Intelligence and Data Science, University of Science and Technology of China(中国科学技术大学人工智能与数据科学学院);Meituan(美团)
We present LADDER, the first deep reinforcement learning agent that can successfully learn control policies for large-scale real-world problems directly from raw inputs composed of high-level semantic information. The agent is based on an asynchronous stochastic variant of DQN (Deep Q Network) named DASQN. The inputs of the agent are plain-text descriptions of states of a game of incomplete information, i.e. real-time large scale online auctions, and the rewards are auction profits of very large scale. We apply the agent to an essential portion of JD's online RTB (real-time bidding) advertisin…
In online display advertising, guaranteed contracts and real-time bidding (RTB) are two major ways to sell impressions for a publisher. For large publishers, simultaneously selling impressions through both guaranteed contracts and in-house RTB has become a popular choice. Generally speaking, a publisher needs to derive an impression allocation strategy between guaranteed contracts and RTB to maximize its overall outcome (e.g., revenue and/or impression quality). However, deriving the optimal strategy is not a trivial task, e.g., the strategy should encourage incentive compatibility in RTB and …
Real-time bidding is the new paradigm of programmatic advertising. An advertiser wants to make the intelligent choice of utilizing a \textbf{Demand-Side Platform} to improve the performance of their ad campaigns. Existing approaches are struggling to provide a satisfactory solution for bidding optimization due to stochastic bidding behavior. In this paper, we proposed a multi-agent reinforcement learning architecture for RTB with functional optimization. We designed four agents bidding environment: three Lagrange-multiplier based functional optimization agents and one baseline agent (without a…
Generative Auto-Bidding with Value-Guided Explorations
City University of Hong Kong(香港城市大学);Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学);Kuaishou Technology(快手科技);The Chinese University of Hong Kong(香港中文大学);Unaffiliated(无隶属机构)
Generative Auto-Bidding with Unified Modeling and Exploration
Key Laboratory of Aerospace Information Security;Trusted Computing, Ministry of Education, School of Cyber Science;Engineering, Wuhan University\ \& Tmall Group of Alibaba Wuhan China;Taobao \& Tmall Group of Alibaba Hangzhou China;Engineering, Wuhan University Wuhan China;Engineering, Wuhan University\ \& Tmall Group of Alibaba;Taobao \& Tmall Group of Alibaba;Engineering, Wuhan University
Facebook Core Data Science(Facebook核心数据科学部门);Sapienza University of Rome(罗马大学);Facebook AI Applied Research(Facebook人工智能应用研究部门)
We study the problem of an online advertising system that wants to optimally spend an advertiser's given budget for a campaign across multiple platforms, without knowing the value for showing an ad to the users on those platforms. We model this challenging practical application as a Stochastic Bandits with Knapsacks problem over $T$ rounds of bidding with the set of arms given by the set of distinct bidding $m$-tuples, where $m$ is the number of platforms. We modify the algorithm proposed in Badanidiyuru \emph{et al.,} to extend it to the case of multiple platforms to obtain an algorithm for b…
Google Research(谷歌研究院);University of Virginia(弗吉尼亚大学);University of Chicago(芝加哥大学)
Incrementality, which is used to measure the causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer (e.g. a user in an internet platform) versus not, is a central object for advertisers in online advertising platforms. This paper investigates the problem of how an advertiser can learn to optimize the bidding sequence in an online manner \emph{without} knowing the incrementality parameters in advance. We formulate the offline version of this problem as a specially structured episodic Markov Decision Process (MDP) and then, for its online learning counterpart, propose a novel reinforcement learn…
Tianjin University(天津大学);Alibaba Group(阿里巴巴集团);Shanghai Jiao Tong University(上海交通大学);University College London(伦敦大学学院)
In E-commerce advertising, where product recommendations and product ads are presented to users simultaneously, the traditional setting is to display ads at fixed positions. However, under such a setting, the advertising system loses the flexibility to control the number and positions of ads, resulting in sub-optimal platform revenue and user experience. Consequently, major e-commerce platforms (e.g., Taobao.com) have begun to consider more flexible ways to display ads. In this paper, we investigate the problem of advertising with adaptive exposure: can we dynamically determine the number and …
Reinforcement learning (RL) is an effective technique for training decision-making agents through interactions with their environment. The advent of deep learning has been associated with highly notable successes with sequential decision making problems - such as defeating some of the highest-ranked human players at Go. In digital advertising, real-time bidding (RTB) is a common method of allocating advertising inventory through real-time auctions. Bidding strategies need to incorporate logic for dynamically adjusting parameters in order to deliver pre-assigned campaign goals. Here we discuss …
Recently the online advertising market has exhibited a gradual shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions. Although there has been a line of works concerning online bidding strategies in first-price auctions, it still remains open how to handle budget constraints in the problem. In the present paper, we initiate the study for a buyer with budgets to learn online bidding strategies in repeated first-price auctions. We propose an RL-based bidding algorithm against the optimal non-anticipating strategy under stationary competition. Our algorithm obtains $\widetilde O(\sqrt T)$-regre…
Shanghai Jiao Tong University(上海交通大学);University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校);Tencent Ads(腾讯广告)
Online Real-Time Bidding (RTB) is a complex auction game among which advertisers struggle to bid for ad impressions when a user request occurs. Considering display cost, Return on Investment (ROI), and other influential Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), large ad platforms try to balance the trade-off among various goals in dynamics. To address the challenge, we propose a Multi-ObjecTive Actor-Critics algorithm based on reinforcement learning (RL), named MoTiAC, for the problem of bidding optimization with various goals. In MoTiAC, objective-specific agents update the global network asynchrono…
The causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer versus not, commonly referred to as "incrementality", is the fundamental question of advertising effectiveness. In digital advertising three major puzzle pieces are central to rigorously quantifying advertising incrementality: ad buying/bidding/pricing, attribution, and experimentation. Building on the foundations of machine learning and causal econometrics, we propose a methodology that unifies these three concepts into a computationally viable model of both bidding and attribution which spans the randomization, training, cross valida…
While it is relatively easy to start an online advertising campaign, obtaining a high Key Performance Indicator (KPI) can be challenging. A large body of work on this subject has already been performed and platforms known as DSPs are available on the market that deal with such an optimization. From the advertiser's point of view, each DSP is a different black box, with its pros and cons, that needs to be configured. In order to take advantage of the pros of every DSP, advertisers are well-advised to use a combination of them when setting up their campaigns. In this paper, we propose an algorit…
Meituan-Dianping Inc.(美团点评公司);University College London(伦敦大学学院)
Real-time bidding (RTB) based display advertising has become one of the key technological advances in computational advertising. RTB enables advertisers to buy individual ad impressions via an auction in real-time and facilitates the evaluation and the bidding of individual impressions across multiple advertisers. In RTB, the advertisers face three main challenges when optimizing their bidding strategies, namely (i) estimating the utility (e.g., conversions, clicks) of the ad impression, (ii) forecasting the market value (thus the cost) of the given ad impression, and (iii) deciding the optima…
Real-Time Bidding (RTB) display advertising is a method for purchasing display advertising inventory in auctions that occur within milliseconds. The performance of RTB campaigns is generally measured with a series of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) - measurements used to ensure that the campaign is cost-effective and that it is purchasing valuable inventory. While an RTB campaign should ideally meet all KPIs, simultaneous improvement tends to be very challenging, as an improvement to any one KPI risks a detrimental effect toward the others. Here we present an approach to simultaneously contr…
Over the last two decades, we have seen extensive industrial research in the area of computational advertising. In this paper, our goal is to study the performance of various online learning algorithms to identify and display the best ads/offers with the highest conversion rates to web users. We formulate our ad-selection problem as a Multi-Armed Bandit problem which is a classical paradigm in Machine Learning. We have been applying machine learning, data mining, probability, and statistics to analyze big data in the ad-tech space and devise efficient ad selection strategies. This article high…
The purpose of Inventory Pricing is to bid the right prices to online ad opportunities, which is crucial for a Demand-Side Platform (DSP) to win advertising auctions in Real-Time Bidding (RTB). In the planning stage, advertisers need the forecast of probabilistic models to make bidding decisions. However, most of the previous works made strong assumptions on the distribution form of the winning price, which reduced their accuracy and weakened their ability to make generalizations. Though some works recently tried to fit the distribution directly, their complex structure lacked efficiency on on…
CyberAgent, Inc.(CyberAgent公司);University of Southern California(南加州大学);Cornell University(康奈尔大学);Hanjuku-kaso Co Ltd(Hanjuku-kaso有限公司)
In display ad auctions of Real-Time Bid-ding (RTB), a typical Demand-Side Platform (DSP)bids based on the predicted probability of click and conversion right after an ad impression. Recent studies find such a strategy is suboptimal and propose a better bidding strategy named lift-based bidding.Lift-based bidding simply bids the price according to the lift effect of the ad impression and achieves maximization of target metrics such as sales. Despiteits superiority, lift-based bidding has not yet been widely accepted in the advertising industry. For one reason, lift-based bidding is less profita…
With the advent and increasing consolidation of e-commerce, digital advertising has very recently replaced traditional advertising as the main marketing force in the economy. In the past four years, a particularly important development in the digital advertising industry is the shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions for online display ads. This shift immediately motivated the intellectually challenging question of how to bid in first-price auctions, because unlike in second-price auctions, bidding one's private value truthfully is no longer optimal. Following a series of rece…
In cost-per-click (CPC) or cost-per-impression (CPM) advertising campaigns, advertisers always run the risk of spending the budget without getting enough conversions. Moreover, the bidding on advertising inventory has few connections with propensity one that can reach to target cost-per-acquisition (tCPA) goals. To address this problem, this paper presents a bid optimization scenario to achieve the desired tCPA goals for advertisers. In particular, we build the optimization engine to make a decision by solving the rigorously formalized constrained optimization problem, which leverages the bid …
The emergence of real-time auction in online advertising has drawn huge attention of modeling the market competition, i.e., bid landscape forecasting. The problem is formulated as to forecast the probability distribution of market price for each ad auction. With the consideration of the censorship issue which is caused by the second-price auction mechanism, many researchers have devoted their efforts on bid landscape forecasting by incorporating survival analysis from medical research field. However, most existing solutions mainly focus on either counting-based statistics of the segmented samp…
Advertisers usually enjoy the flexibility to choose criteria like target audience, geographic area and bid price when planning an campaign for online display advertising, while they lack forecast information on campaign performance to optimize delivery strategies in advance, resulting in a waste of labour and budget for feedback adjustments. In this paper, we aim to forecast key performance indicators for new campaigns given any certain criteria. Interpretable and accurate results could enable advertisers to manage and optimize their campaign criteria. There are several challenges for this ver…
Generative Auto-Bidding in Large-Scale Competitive Auctions via Diffusion Completer-Aligner
Kuaishou Technology(快手科技);Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学);City University of HongKong(香港城市大学);Chinese University of HongKong(香港中文大学);University of Texas at Austin(德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校)