1905 - 2001年罗马尼亚宗教规则对受孕时间的影响
Effect of religious rules on time of conception in Romania from 1905 to 2001
摘要：
正如本文所证明的，一个国家的人口增长（或衰退）可能是由于各种社会经济制约因素。例如，在耶稣诞生和四旬斋期间，各种宗教都禁止性交。分析了1905年至2001年（97年）罗马尼亚长期（35，429个点）时间序列和许多（24，947，061）婴儿的登记日出生记录数据。这些数据来自1992年和2002年的人口普查，因此是关于当时在世的人的数据。我们将人口分为两类（东正教和非东正教），以区分宗教的限制，并进行了广泛的数据分析，在两组比较的方式。从这么长的时间序列数据分析来看，在东正教人口中，大斋节斋戒对婴儿受孕的影响似乎比耶稣诞生斋戒更剧烈，从而不同程度地增加了人口比例。此后，我们开发并测试了计量经济学模型，其中因变量是婴儿概念推导日，而自变量是：（i）宗教信仰;（ii）耶稣诞生和四旬斋的快速时间间隔;（iii）农村;（iv）一天的长度;（v）周末，和（vi）趋势背景。我们的发现与其他论文一致，证明了宗教团体之间在概念上的差异，尽管在天气对生育的影响方面得出了不同的结论。这种方法似乎是一个有用的提示，在其他社会物理学倾向的情况下，发展计量经济学样的模型。
英文摘要：
Population growth (or decay) in a country can be due to various f socio-economic constraints, as demonstrated in this paper. For example, sexual intercourse is banned in various religions, during Nativity and Lent fasting periods. Data consisting of registered daily birth records for very long (35,429 points) time series and many (24,947,061) babies in Romania between 1905 and 2001 (97 years) is analyzed. The data was obtained from the 1992 and 2002 censuses, thus on persons alive at that time. We grouped the population into two categories (Eastern Orthodox and Non-Orthodox) in order to distinguish religious constraints and performed extensive data analysis in a comparative manner for both groups. From such a long time series data analysis, it seems that the Lent fast has a more drastic effect than the Nativity fast over baby conception within the Eastern Orthodox population, thereby differently increasing the population ratio. Thereafter, we developed and tested econometric models where the dependent variable is the baby conception deduced day, while the independent variables are: (i) religious affiliation; (ii) Nativity and Lent fast time intervals; (iii) rurality; (iv) day length; (v) weekend, and (vi) a trend background. Our findings are concordant with other papers, proving differences between religious groups on conception, - although reaching different conclusions regarding the influence of weather on fertility. The approach seems a useful hint for developing econometric-like models in other sociophysics prone cases.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
