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arXiv 1507.04797math.OCecon.GNmath.PRq-fin.EC
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随机时机博弈中的对称均衡

Symmetric Equilibria in Stochastic Timing Games

Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University(比勒费尔德大学数学经济学中心)

Jan-Henrik Steg

AI总结:

本文研究了随机时机博弈中的对称均衡,分析了局部先动或后动优势下的策略差异,通过Snell envelope理论刻画耗尽战的停止率,并提出算法确定 preemptive 必要性及对称均衡。

摘要:

我们为具有任意战略激励的对称随机时机博弈构造了子博弈完美混合策略均衡。策略在局部先动或后动优势下有本质不同,我们分别分析。当存在局部后动优势时,玩家可能进行耗尽战,其停止率通过最优停止理论中的Snell envelope刻画。这是一个非常一般的结果,但提供了清晰的解释。当存在局部先动优势时,停止通常由 preemptive 引起且是 abrupt 的。均衡可能在 preemption 的程度上不同,尤其在是否触发时。我们开发了算法以确定 preemption 是否不可避免,并构造相应的收益最大化对称均衡。

英文摘要:

We construct subgame-perfect equilibria with mixed strategies for symmetric stochastic timing games with arbitrary strategic incentives. The strategies are qualitatively different for local first- or second-mover advantages, which we analyse in turn. When there is a local second-mover advantage, the players may conduct a war of attrition with stopping rates that we characterize in terms of the Snell envelope from the theory of optimal stopping. This is a very general result, but it provides a clear interpretation. When there is a local first-mover advantage, stopping typically results from preemption and is abrupt. Equilibria may differ in the degree of preemption, precisely when it is triggered or not. We develop an algorithm to characterize when preemption is inevitable and to construct corresponding payoff-maximal symmetric equilibria.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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