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arXiv 1503.00167math.PRmath.STstat.TH
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转移阵未知时隐马尔可夫模型的状态估计

On estimation states of hidden markov models in condition of unknown transition matrix

Vasily Vasilyev, Alexander Dobrovidov

摘要:

在本文中,我们开发的非线性滤波和预测的马尔可夫链的有限集的状态。该马尔可夫链控制AR(p)模型的系数。在概率转移阵未知的情况下,利用AR(p)模型产生的观测值,我们需要估计马尔可夫链的状态。在转移阵已知的情况下,通过仿真比较了所提出的非参数算法和最优算法。

英文摘要:

In this paper, we develop methods of nonlinear filtering and prediction of an unobservable Markov chain with a finite set of states. This Markov chain controls coefficients of AR(p) model. Using observations generated by AR(p) model we have to estimate the state of Markov chain in the case of an unknown probability transition matrix. Comparison of proposed non-parametric algorithms with the optimal methods in the case of the known transition matrix is carried out by simulating.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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