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arXiv 1209.6503math.STstat.TH
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高熵不等概率抽样设计下函数型数据均值估计的方差估计和渐近置信带

Variance estimation and asymptotic confidence bands for the mean estimator of sampled functional data with high entropy unequal probability sampling designs

Hervé Cardot, Camelia Goga, Pauline Lardin

摘要:

对于具有高熵的固定大小抽样设计,众所周知,Horvitz-Thompson估计量的方差可以通过Hájek公式近似。这种渐近方差近似的有趣之处在于它只涉及统计单元的一阶包含概率。当研究的变量是函数时,我们推广了这个方差公式,并证明了在一般的个体轨迹和抽样设计的规律性条件下,我们可以得到均值函数的Horvitz-Thompson估计的方差函数的一致收敛估计。给出了拒绝抽样法收敛到真方差函数的速度。我们推导出,在抽样设计的熵的条件下,它是可能的,通过模拟高斯过程的方差函数由哈耶克公式,建立的置信带的覆盖范围是渐近的期望的。最后,建议的方差估计的准确性进行评估,在一个星期内每半小时测量的电力消耗数据的样本。

英文摘要:

For fixed size sampling designs with high entropy it is well known that the variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator can be approximated by the Hájek formula. The interest of this asymptotic variance approximation is that it only involves the first order inclusion probabilities of the statistical units. We extend this variance formula when the variable under study is functional and we prove, under general conditions on the regularity of the individual trajectories and the sampling design, that we can get a uniformly convergent estimator of the variance function of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the mean function. Rates of convergence to the true variance function are given for the rejective sampling. We deduce, under conditions on the entropy of the sampling design, that it is possible to build confidence bands whose coverage is asymptotically the desired one via simulation of Gaussian processes with variance function given by the Hájek formula. Finally, the accuracy of the proposed variance estimator is evaluated on samples of electricity consumption data measured every half an hour over a period of one week.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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