arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1012.0866math.STcs.LGstat.MEstat.TH

Generalized Species Sampling Priors with Latent Beta reinforcements

Harvard University(哈佛大学);Universita di Pavia(帕维亚大学);University of Kent(肯特大学);MD Anderson Cancer Center(MD安德森癌症中心)

Edoardo M. Airoldi, Thiago Costa, Federico Bassetti, Fabrizio Leisen, Michele Guindani

英文摘要:

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent family of non-exchangeable species sampling sequences characterized by a tractable predictive probability function with weights driven by a sequence of independent Beta random variables. We compare their theoretical clustering properties with those of the Dirichlet Process and the two parameters Poisson-Dirichlet process. The proposed construction provides a complete characterization of the joint process, differently from existing work. We then propose the use of such process as prior distribution in a hierarchical Bayes modeling framework, and we describe a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampler for posterior inference. We evaluate the performance of the prior and the robustness of the resulting inference in a simulation study, providing a comparison with popular Dirichlet Processes mixtures and Hidden Markov Models. Finally, we develop an application to the detection of chromosomal aberrations in breast cancer by leveraging array CGH data.

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