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arXiv 1007.2735astro-ph.SR
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自AD 1968 / s2以来合成太阳X射线耀斑时间序列

Synthetic solar X-ray flares time series since AD 1968 /s2

B. Komitov, P. Duchlev, K. Koleva, M. Dechev

摘要:

基于1980-2009年期间最定性的GOES卫星数据和多元回归模型,建立了1968-2009年时期软X射线耀斑月数量的“合成”系列(分别为C,M,X和总数)。公元1980年以前的系列的早期部分是在上述模型的基础上衍生的。四个频率(29-33、609、8800和15400 MHz)的射电爆发月数和2800 MHz(F10.7)的射电通量被用作因子。相关性非常强(相关系数R为0.79 - 0.93,Snedekor-Fisher的F参数为2.5-7)。早期的GOES X射线数据(AD 1975-1979)和较老的SOLRAD卫星数据(AD 1968-1974)不够确定,这表明可能是由于仪器灵敏度低而产生的还原效应。还发现,相对较弱的太阳黑子苏黎世周期No 20比接下来的三个周期No 21-23基本上更富含最强X级耀斑。

英文摘要:

On the base of the most qualitative GOES satellites data for the period AD 1980-2009 and multiple regression model the "synthetic" series of the monthly numbers of soft X-ray flares (separately for the classes C, M, X and total numbers) were built for the epoch AD 1968-2009. The earlier parts of the series before AD 1980 were derived on the base of the mentioned model . The monthly numbers of radio bursts at four frequencies (29-33, 609, 8800 and 15400 MHz) and the radio flux at 2800 MHz (F10.7) are used as factors. The relationships are very strong (correlation coefficients R are from 0.79 to 0.93 and Snedekor-Fisher's F parameter is in the range of 2.5-7). The earlier GOES X-ray data (AD 1975-1979) and the older SOLRAD satellite data (AD 1968-1974) are not enough certain, which suggests a probable reduction effect because of the low instrumental sensitivity. It has also been found that the relatively weak sunspot Zurich cycle No 20 is essentially richer of flares of the strongest class X than the next three cycles No 21-23.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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