arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
稍安勿躁,官方尚未更新
arXiv 1003.4403cond-mat.stat-mechphysics.data-an
收藏

条件概率在多尺度平稳马尔可夫过程中的作用

The role of conditional probability in multi-scale stationary Markovian processes

Salvatore Miccichè

摘要:

本文的目的是了解如何纳入越来越多的时间尺度到一个随机平稳马尔可夫过程影响其条件概率。为此,我们考虑两个高斯过程:(i)一个短程相关过程与一个无限的时间尺度从下面有界的集合,和(ii)一个幂律相关过程与一个无限的和无界的时间尺度集。对于这些过程,我们研究了等位置条件概率P(x,t| x,0)和平均首次通过时间T(L)。函数P(x,t| x,0)可以被认为是持久性的代理,即当进程到达位置x时,它在该位置值周围花费一些时间的事实。平均首次通过时间可以被认为是从位置x开始到达距离L处的位置的过程有多快的代理。在第一次调查中,我们表明,更多的时间尺度的过程中,包括更大的持久性。具体地说,我们表明,幂律相关的过程显示了一个缓慢的幂律衰减的P(x,t| x,0)到静止PDF。相比之下,短程相关过程显示出由指数截止主导的衰减。此外,我们还证明了存在一个无限且无边界的时间尺度集是观察P(x,t)缓慢幂律衰减的必要而非充分条件|x,0)。在第二次调查中,我们表明,对于大的L值的过程包括更多的时间尺度,更大的平均首次通过时间,即最慢的过程。另一方面,对于L的小值,过程包括的时间尺度越多,平均首次通过时间越小,即当过程在给定位置统计地花费更多时间时,它偶然到达附近位置的可能性也被增强。

英文摘要:

The aim of the paper is to understand how the inclusion of more and more time-scales into a stochastic stationary Markovian process affects its conditional probability. To this end, we consider two Gaussian processes: (i) a short-range correlated process with an infinite set of time-scales bounded from below, and (ii) a power-law correlated process with an infinite and unbounded set of time-scales. For these processes we investigate the equal position conditional probability P(x,t|x,0) and the mean First Passage Time T(L). The function P(x,t|x,0) can be considered as a proxy of the persistence, i.e. the fact that when a process reaches a position x then it spends some time around that position value. The mean First Passage Time can be considered as a proxy of how fast is the process in reaching a position at distance L starting from position x. In the first investigation we show that the more time-scales the process includes, the larger the persistence. Specifically, we show that the power-law correlated process shows a slow power-law decay of P(x,t|x,0) to the stationary pdf. By contrast, the short range correlated process shows a decay dominated by an exponential cut-off. Moreover, we also show that the existence of an infinite and unbouded set of time-scales is a necessary and not sufficient condition for observing a slow power-law decay of P(x,t|x,0). In the second investigation, we show that for large values of L the more time-scales the process includes, the larger the mean First Passage Time, i.e. the slowest the process. On the other hand, for small values of L, the more time-scales the process includes, the smaller the mean First Passage Time, i.e. when a process statistically spends more time in a given position the likelihood that it reached nearby positions by chance is also enhanced.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑