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arXiv 1003.0889q-fin.RMq-fin.CP
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信用违约互换流动性模型研究综述

Credit Default Swaps Liquidity modeling: A survey

Damiano Brigo, Mirela Predescu, Agostino Capponi

摘要:

我们回顾了衡量流动性对CDS价格影响的不同方法。我们从简化形式的模型开始,将流动性作为一个额外的贴现率。我们回顾了Chen,Fabozzi and Sverdlove(2008)和Buhler and Trapp(2006,2008),对流动性利率如何进入CDS溢价率公式、流动性利率过程的动态以及信用流动性相关性采用了不同的假设。Buhler和Trapp(2008)提供了最普遍和最现实的框架,包括流动性和信用之间的相关性,债券和CDS合约之间的流动性溢出效应,以及CDS溢价率的非对称流动性效应。然后,我们讨论了Bongaerts,De Jong和Driessen(2009)的研究,该研究导出了一个包含流动性效应的均衡资产定价模型。研究结果包括,预期的非流动性和流动性风险对预期CDS回报有统计上的显着影响。最后,我们讨论了Predescu et al(2009),该研究也分析了危机中的数据。这是一个统计模型,将有序流动性得分与每个CDS参考实体相关联,并允许比较超过2400个参考实体的流动性。本研究指出,信用与流动性不足是相关的,并呈现微笑模式。所有这些研究都强调,CDS溢价率并不是信用风险的纯粹指标。需要进一步的研究来衡量CDS合约水平的流动性溢价,并有效地将流动性与信贷分离。

英文摘要:

We review different approaches for measuring the impact of liquidity on CDS prices. We start with reduced form models incorporating liquidity as an additional discount rate. We review Chen, Fabozzi and Sverdlove (2008) and Buhler and Trapp (2006, 2008), adopting different assumptions on how liquidity rates enter the CDS premium rate formula, about the dynamics of liquidity rate processes and about the credit-liquidity correlation. Buhler and Trapp (2008) provides the most general and realistic framework, incorporating correlation between liquidity and credit, liquidity spillover effects between bonds and CDS contracts and asymmetric liquidity effects on the Bid and Ask CDS premium rates. We then discuss the Bongaerts, De Jong and Driessen (2009) study which derives an equilibrium asset pricing model incorporating liquidity effects. Findings include that both expected illiquidity and liquidity risk have a statistically significant impact on expected CDS returns. We finalize our review with a discussion of Predescu et al (2009), which analyzes also data in-crisis. This is a statistical model that associates an ordinal liquidity score with each CDS reference entity and allows one to compare liquidity of over 2400 reference entities. This study points out that credit and illiquidity are correlated, with a smile pattern. All these studies highlight that CDS premium rates are not pure measures of credit risk. Further research is needed to measure liquidity premium at CDS contract level and to disentangle liquidity from credit effectively.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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