arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1001.3907stat.COmath.OCstat.AP
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使用Student t的鲁棒和趋势跟踪Kalman平滑器

Robust and Trend-following Kalman Smoothers using Student's t

Aleksandr Y. Aravkin, James V. Burke, Gianluigi Pillonetto

摘要:

我们提出了两个非线性卡尔曼平滑依赖于学生的t分布。T-Robust平滑器为高斯过程噪声和Student t观测噪声找到最大后验似然(MAP)解决方案,并且对离群值非常鲁棒,在极端情况下(例如50%或更多离群值)优于最近提出的l1-Laplace平滑器。第二个估计,我们称之为的T-趋势平滑,是能够遵循过程模型的突然变化,并推导出作为一个MAP求解器的模型与学生的t-过程噪声和高斯观测噪声。我们设计专门的方法来解决这两个问题,利用特殊结构的学生的t分布,并提供了一个收敛理论。这两种平滑器只需对现有的L2平滑器实现进行微小修改即可实现。线性和非线性模型说明了鲁棒性和快速跟踪应用的数值结果。

英文摘要:

We propose two nonlinear Kalman smoothers that rely on Student's t distributions. The T-Robust smoother finds the maximum a posteriori likelihood (MAP) solution for Gaussian process noise and Student's t observation noise, and is extremely robust against outliers, outperforming the recently proposed l1-Laplace smoother in extreme situations (e.g. 50% or more outliers). The second estimator, which we call the T-Trend smoother, is able to follow sudden changes in the process model, and is derived as a MAP solver for a model with Student's t-process noise and Gaussian observation noise. We design specialized methods to solve both problems which exploit the special structure of the Student's t-distribution, and provide a convergence theory. Both smoothers can be implemented with only minor modifications to an existing L2 smoother implementation. Numerical results for linear and nonlinear models illustrating both robust and fast tracking applications are presented.

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