This paper discusses asymptotically distribution free tests for the classical goodness-of-fit hypothesis of an error distribution in nonparametric regression models. These tests are based on the same martingale transform of the residual empirical process as used in the one sample location model. This transformation eliminates extra randomization due to covariates but not due the errors, which is intrinsically present in the estimators of the regression function. Thus, tests based on the transformed process have, generally, better power. The results of this paper are applicable as soon as asymptotic uniform linearity of nonparametric residual empirical process is available. In particular they are applicable under the conditions stipulated in recent papers of Akritas and Van Keilegom and Müller, Schick and Wefelmeyer.
The Bayesian nonparametric inference and Dirichlet process are popular tools in statistical methodologies. In this paper, we employ the Dirichlet process in hypothesis testing to propose a Bayesian nonparametric chi-squared goodness-of-fit test. In our Bayesian nonparametric approach, we consider the Dirichlet process as the prior for the distribution of data and carry out the test based on the Kullback-Leibler distance between the updated Dirichlet process and the hypothesized distribution F0. We prove that this distance asymptotically converges to the same chi-squared distribution as the chi…
In the framework of quantum optics, we study the problem of goodness-of-fit testing in a severely ill-posed inverse problem. A novel testing procedure is introduced and its rates of convergence are investigated under various smoothness assumptions. The procedure is derived from a projection-type estimator, where the projection is done in $\mathbb{L}_2$ distance on some suitably chosen pattern functions. The proposed methodology is illustrated with simulated data sets.
This paper applies the recently axiomatized Optimum Information Principle (minimize the Kullback-Leibler information subject to all relevant information) to nonparametric density estimation, which provides a theoretical foundation as well as a computational algorithm for maximum entropy density estimation. The estimator, called optimum information estimator, approximates the true density arbitrarily well. As a by-product I obtain a measure of goodness of fit of parametric models (both conditional and unconditional) and an absolute criterion for model selection, as opposed to other conventional…
In recent years, Bayesian nonparametric statistics has gathered extraordinary attention. Nonetheless, a relatively little amount of work has been expended on Bayesian nonparametric hypothesis testing. In this paper, a novel Bayesian nonparametric approach to the two-sample problem is established. Precisely, given two samples $\mathbf{X}=X_1,\ldots,X_{m_1}$ $\overset {i.i.d.} \sim F$ and $\mathbf{Y}=Y_1,\ldots,Y_{m_2} \overset {i.i.d.} \sim G$, with $F$ and $G$ being unknown continuous cumulative distribution functions, we wish to test the null hypothesis $\mathcal{H}_0:~F=G$. The method is bas…
The problem of curve registration appears in many different areas of applications ranging from neuroscience to road traffic modeling. In the present work, we propose a nonparametric testing framework in which we develop a generalized likelihood ratio test to perform curve registration. We first prove that, under the null hypothesis, the resulting test statistic is asymptotically distributed as a chi-squared random variable. This result, often referred to as Wilks' phenomenon, provides a natural threshold for the test of a prescribed asymptotic significance level and a natural measure of lack-o…
We consider an unknown response function $f$ defined on $Δ=[0,1]^d$, $1\le d\le\infty$, taken at $n$ random uniform design points and observed with Gaussian noise of known variance. Given a positive sequence $r_n\to 0$ as $n\to\infty$ and a known function $f_0 \in L_2(Δ)$, we propose, under general conditions, a unified framework for the goodness-of-fit testing problem for testing the null hypothesis $H_0: f=f_0$ against the alternative $H_1: f\in\CF, \|f-f_0\|\ge r_n$, where $\CF$ is an ellipsoid in the Hilbert space $ L_2(Δ)$ with respect to the tensor product Fourier basis and $\|\cdot\|$ i…
This paper studies the problem of nonparametric testing for the effect of a random functional covariate on a real-valued error term. The covariate takes values in $L^2[0,1]$, the Hilbert space of the square-integrable real-valued functions on the unit interval. The error term could be directly observed as a response or \emph{estimated} from a functional parametric model, like for instance the functional linear regression. Our test is based on the remark that checking the no-effect of the functional covariate is equivalent to checking the nullity of the conditional expectation of the error term…
We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1 sample autocorrelations of individual AR(1) processes. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the empirical distribution function and a class of kernel density estimators is established under some regularity conditions on $G(x)$ as $N$ and $n$ increase to infinity. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test for simple and composite hypotheses of Beta distr…
In this paper we study goodness-of-fit testing of single-index models. The large sample behavior of certain score-type test statistics is investigated. As a by-product, we obtain asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large class of local alternatives. Furthermore, characteristic function based goodness-of-fit tests are proposed which are omnibus and able to detect peak alternatives. Simulation results indicate that the approximation through the limit distribution is acceptable already for moderate sample sizes. Applications to two real data sets are illustrated.
This paper discusses two goodness-of-fit testing problems. The first problem pertains to fitting an error distribution to an assumed nonlinear parametric regression model, while the second pertains to fitting a parametric regression model when the error distribution is unknown. For the first problem the paper contains tests based on a certain martingale type transform of residual empirical processes. The advantage of this transform is that the corresponding tests are asymptotically distribution free. For the second problem the proposed asymptotically distribution free tests are based on innova…
We consider a nonparametric goodness of fit test problem for the drift coefficient of one-dimensional small diffusions. Our test is based on discrete observation of the processes, and the diffusion coefficient is a nuisance function which is estimated in our testing procedure. We prove that the limit distribution of our test is the supremum of the standard Brownian motion, and thus our test is asymptotically distribution free. We also show that our test is consistent under any fixed alternatives.
We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence bands (SCB) for various estimation and inference tasks. Two applications to a SCB procedure for the regression function and to a goodness-of-fit test for curvilinear regression models are proposed. The first one has improved accuracy upon the other available methods while the second can detect local departures from a parametric shape, as opposed to the usual goo…
It is proved that nonparametric autoregression is asymptotically equivalent in the sense of Le Cam's deficiency distance to nonparametric regression with random design as well as with regular nonrandom design.
Within the nonparametric regression model with unknown regression function $l$ and independent, symmetric errors, a new multiscale signed rank statistic is introduced and a conditional multiple test of the simple hypothesis $l=0$ against a nonparametric alternative is proposed. This test is distribution-free and exact for finite samples even in the heteroscedastic case. It adapts in a certain sense to the unknown smoothness of the regression function under the alternative, and it is uniformly consistent against alternatives whose sup-norm tends to zero at the fastest possible rate. The test is…
An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (oracle inequality) is obtained
An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for the estimation problem of heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (an oracle inequality) is constructed.
This manuscript is a supplemental document providing the omitted material for our paper entitled "Nonparametric kernel estimation of the probability density function of regression errors using estimated residuals" [arXiv:1010.0439]. The paper is submitted to Journal of Nonparametric Statistics.
We propose an empirical likelihood test that is able to test the goodness of fit of a class of parametric and semi-parametric multiresponse regression models. The class includes as special cases fully parametric models; semi-parametric models, like the multiindex and the partially linear models; and models with shape constraints. Another feature of the test is that it allows both the response variable and the covariate be multivariate, which means that multiple regression curves can be tested simultaneously. The test also allows the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance functions in the mo…
This note shows that adding monotonicity or convexity constraints on the regression function does not restore well-posedness in nonparametric instrumental variable regression. The minimum distance problem without regularisation is still locally ill-posed.
In this work we deal with the problem of fitting an error density to the goodness-of-fit test of the errors in nonlinear autoregressive time series models with stationary $α$-mixing error terms. The test statistic is based on the integrated squared error of the nonparametric error density estimate and the null error density. By deriving the asymptotic normality of test statistics in these models, we extend the result of Cheng and Sun (Statist. Probab. Lett. \textbf{78}, 1(2008), 50-59) in the model with i.i.d error terms to the more general case.
In this paper, we develop nonparametric inference on spatial regression models as an extension of Lu and Tj\ostheim(2014), which develops nonparametric inference on density functions of stationary spatial processes under domain expanding and infill (DEI) asymptotics. In particular, we derive multivariate central limit theorems of mean and variance functions of nonparametric spatial regression models. Built upon those results, we propose a method to construct confidence bands for mean and variance functions.
We construct an efficient estimator for the error distribution function of the nonparametric regression model Y = r(Z) + e. Our estimator is a kernel smoothed empirical distribution function based on residuals from an under-smoothed local quadratic smoother for the regression function.
Despite a substantial literature on nonparametric two-sample goodness-of-fit testing in arbitrary dimensions spanning decades, there is no mention there of any curse of dimensionality. Only more recently Ramdas et al. (2015) have discussed this issue in the context of kernel methods by showing that their performance degrades with the dimension even when the underlying distributions are isotropic Gaussians. We take a minimax perspective and follow in the footsteps of Ingster (1987) to derive the minimax rate in arbitrary dimension when the discrepancy is measured in the L2 metric. That rate is …
This paper concerns the estimation of the regression function at a given point in nonparametric heteroscedastic models with Gaussian noise or with noise having unknown distribution. In the two cases an asymptotically efficient kernel estimator is constructed for the minimax absolute error risk.
In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric estimation of the multivariate regression function in the presence of right censored data. More precisely, we propose a statistic that is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed under the additive assumption, and that could be used to test for additivity in the censored regression setting.
We establish the asymptotic normality of the kernel type estimator for the regression function constructed from quasi-associated data when the explanatory variable takes its values in a separable Hilbert space.
This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the recursive Nadaraya-Watson estimator. We establish the almost sure convergence as well as the asymptotic normality for our estimates. We also illustrate our nonparametric estimation procedure on simulated and real life data associated with sea shores water quality and valvometry.
The detection of influential observations for the standard least squares regression model is a question that has been extensively studied. LAD regression diagnostics offers alternative approaches whose main feature is the robustness. In this paper a new approach for nonparametric detection of influencial observations in LAD regression models is presented and compared with other classical methods of diagnostics.
In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for a locally stationary functional time series. First, we introduce the notion of a locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS) that takes values in a semi-metric space. Then, we propose a nonparametric model for LSFTS with a regression function that changes smoothly over time. We establish the uniform convergence rates of a class of kernel estimators, the Nadaraya-Watson (NW) estimator of the regression function, and a central limit theorem of the NW estimator.
We introduce and study a local linear nonparametric regression estimator for censorship model. The main goal of this paper is, to establish the uniform almost sure consistency result with rate over a compact set for the new estimate. To support our theoretical result, a simulation study has been done to make comparison with the classical regression estimator.
This paper discusses a design-dependent nature of variance in nonparametric link regression aiming at predicting a mean outcome at a link, i.e., a pair of nodes, based on currently observed data comprising covariates at nodes and outcomes at links.
The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It means that the asymptotic quadratic risk for this procedure coincides with a sharp lower bound.
We analyze the statistical properties of nonparametric regression estimators using covariates which are not directly observable, but have be estimated from data in a preliminary step. These so-called generated covariates appear in numerous applications, including two-stage nonparametric regression, estimation of simultaneous equation models or censored regression models. Yet so far there seems to be no general theory for their impact on the final estimator's statistical properties. Our paper provides such results. We derive a stochastic expansion that characterizes the influence of the generat…
We show that nonparametric regression is asymptotically equivalent in Le Cam's sense with a sequence of Gaussian white noise experiments as the number of observations tends to infinity. We propose a general constructive framework based on approximation spaces, which permits to achieve asymptotic equivalence even in the cases of multivariate and random design.
In this paper we prove large deviations principles for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the regression of a real-valued variable with a functional covariate. Under suitable conditions, we show pointwise and uniform large deviations theorems with good rate functions.
We discuss nonparametric tests for parametric specifications of regression quantiles. The test is based on the comparison of parametric and nonparametric fits of these quantiles. The nonparametric fit is a Nadaraya-Watson quantile smoothing estimator. An asymptotic treatment of the test statistic requires the development of new mathematical arguments. An approach that makes only use of plugging in a Bahadur expansion of the nonparametric estimator is not satisfactory. It requires too strong conditions on the dimension and the choice of the bandwidth. Our alternative mathematical approach requi…
We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class of supersmooth functions. The noise distribution is known and its characteristic function decays either polynomially or exponentially asymptotically. We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing in the convolution model. We prove upper bounds for the risk of a test statistic derived from a kernel estimator of the quadratic functional $\int f^2$ based o…
A nonparametric regression setting is considered with a real-valued covariate and responses from a metric space. One may approach this setting via Fréchet regression, where the value of the regression function at each point is estimated via a Fréchet mean calculated from an estimated objective function. A second approach is geodesic regression, which builds upon fitting geodesics to observations by a least squares method. These approaches are applied to transform two of the most important nonparametric regression estimators in statistics to the metric setting -- the local linear regression est…
Suppose the nonparametric regression function of a response variable $Y$ on covariates $X$ and $Z$ is an affine function of $X$ such that the slope $β$ and the intercept $α$ are real valued measurable functions on the range of the completely arbitrary random element $Z$. Assume that $X$ has a finite moment of order greater than or equal to $2$, $Y$ has a finite moment of conjugate order, and $α\left(Z\right)$ and $α\left(Z\right)X$ have finite first moments. Then, the nonparametric regression function equals the least squares linear regression function of $Y$ on $X$ with all the moments that a…
In this note, we consider the problem of existence of adaptive confidence bands in the fixed design regression model, adapting ideas in Hoffmann and Nickl (2011) to the present case. In the course of the proof, we show that sup-norm adaptive estimators exist as well in regression.
In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the unobserved whole trajectories. As a consequence, we derive asymptotic results for most of the regularization techniques used in functional data analysis, including smoothing and basis representation.
The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper, 2007, for estimating a unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk, i.e. the asymptotic quadratic risk for this procedure coincides with the Pinsker constant which gives a sharp lower bound for the quadratic risk over all possible estimators.
In the common nonparametric regression model the problem of testing for a specific parametric form of the variance function is considered. Recently Dette and Hetzler (2008) proposed a test statistic, which is based on an empirical process of pseudo residuals. The process converges weakly to a Gaussian process with a complicated covariance kernel depending on the data generating process. In the present paper we consider a standardized version of this process and propose a martingale transform to obtain asymptotically distribution free tests for the corresponding Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramér-vo…
In this paper, we built a new nonparametric regression estimator with the local linear method by using the mean squared relative error as a loss function when the data are subject to random right censoring. We establish the uniform almost sure consistency with rate over a compact set of the proposed estimator. Some simulations are given to show the asymptotic behavior of the estimate in different cases.
This paper deals with the nonparametric density estimation of the regression error term assuming its independence with the covariate. The difference between the feasible estimator which uses the estimated residuals and the unfeasible one using the true residuals is studied. An optimal choice of the bandwidth used to estimate the residuals is given. We also study the asymptotic normality of the feasible kernel estimator and its rate-optimality.
Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot of the model's residuals. This approach is objectified by constructing a random process from the model's residuals, however due to a very complex covariance function obtaining the exact distribution of the test statistic is intractable. Several solutions to overcome this have been proposed, however the simulation and bootstrap based approaches are only asympt…
This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown, but assume the availability of validation data or repeated measurements on the latent predictor variable. The proposed confidence band builds on the deconvolution kernel estimation and a novel application of the multiplier bootstrap method. We establish asymptotic validity of the proposed confidence band. To our knowledge, this is the first paper to derive as…
The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper, 2007, for estimating an unknown nonparametric regression. %\cite{GaPe1}. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk, i.e. the asymptotic quadratic risk for this procedure coincides with the Pinsker constant which gives a sharp lower bound for the quadratic risk over all possible estimates
We develop a unifying framework for Bayesian nonparametric regression to study the rates of contraction with respect to the integrated $L_2$-distance without assuming the regression function space to be uniformly bounded. The framework is very flexible and can be applied to a wide class of nonparametric prior models. Three non-trivial applications of the proposed framework are provided: The finite random series regression of an $α$-Hölder function, with adaptive rates of contraction up to a logarithmic factor; The un-modified block prior regression of an $α$-Sobolev function, with adaptive-and…
We consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. Under general moment conditions on the noise distribution a sharp non-asymptotic oracle inequality for the robust risks is obtained and the robust efficiency is shown. It turns out that for semi-Markov models the robust minimax convergence rate may be faster or slower than the classical one.
The main purpose is to estimate the regression function of a real random variable with functional explanatory variable by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. The mean square error and the almost sure convergence of a family of recursive kernel estimates of the regression function are derived. These results are established with rates and precise evaluation of the constant terms. Also, a central limit theorem for this class of estimators is established. The method is evaluated on simulations and real data set studies.
In this work, we develop and study an empirical projection operator scheme for solving nonparametric regression problems. This scheme is based on an approximate projection of the regression function over a suitable reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). The RKHS considered in this paper are generated by the Mercer kernels given by the Legendre Christoffel-Darboux and convolution Sinc kernels. We provide error and convergence analysis of the proposed scheme under the assumption that the regression function belongs to some suitable functional spaces. We also consider the popular RKHS regulariz…
Most results in nonparametric regression theory are developed only for the case of additive noise. In such a setting many smoothing techniques including wavelet thresholding methods have been developed and shown to be highly adaptive. In this paper we consider nonparametric regression in exponential families with the main focus on the natural exponential families with a quadratic variance function, which include, for example, Poisson regression, binomial regression and gamma regression. We propose a unified approach of using a mean-matching variance stabilizing transformation to turn the relat…
Principled nonparametric tests for regression curvature in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are often statistically and computationally challenging. This paper introduces the stratified incomplete local simplex (SILS) tests for joint concavity of nonparametric multiple regression. The SILS tests with suitable bootstrap calibration are shown to achieve simultaneous guarantees on dimension-free computational complexity, polynomial decay of the uniform error-in-size, and power consistency for general (global and local) alternatives. To establish these results, a general theory for incomplete $U$-processes with s…
