减少电子表格开发中的过度自信
Reducing Overconfidence in Spreadsheet Development
AI总结：
本文通过两个实验验证电子表格开发人员存在过度自信，并测试一种干预方法以减少过度自信和错误，结果表明该方向具有前景。
摘要：
尽管有充分证据表明电子表格中普遍存在错误，但电子表格开发人员很少在开发后对其电子表格进行测试以减少错误。这可能是因为电子表格开发人员对其电子表格的准确性过度自信。这一推测是合理的，因为过度自信广泛存在于人类的各种认知领域中，甚至在专家中也是如此。本文描述了两个关于电子表格开发中过度自信的实验。第一个是确定过度自信存在性的初步研究。第二个测试了一种旨在减少过度自信和错误的干预方法。该干预取得了适度的成功，表明减少过度自信是一个值得探索的有前景的方向。
英文摘要：
Despite strong evidence of widespread errors, spreadsheet developers rarely subject their spreadsheets to post-development testing to reduce errors. This may be because spreadsheet developers are overconfident in the accuracy of their spreadsheets. This conjecture is plausible because overconfidence is present in a wide variety of human cognitive domains, even among experts. This paper describes two experiments in overconfidence in spreadsheet development. The first is a pilot study to determine the existence of overconfidence. The second tests a manipulation to reduce overconfidence and errors. The manipulation is modestly successful, indicating that overconfidence reduction is a promising avenue to pursue.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
