arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 0708.3172physics.soc-ph
收藏

有限置信下多维连续观点动力学中的共识培育

Fostering Consensus in Multidimensional Continuous Opinion Dynamics under Bounded Confidence

Jan Lorenz

摘要:

社会共识对社会很重要。有时社会的成功取决于共识(例如纳税或遵守宪法的决定)。持续的观点动力学的例子是关于税率或政府投资预算计划提案的讨论。另一个例子是一个专家委员会,它应该对某个问题作出估计,例如下一年的税收。在所有这些情况下,我们得到了一组代理人,他们应该达成一个共同的协议,要么是为了达到一个很好的近似真理,但另一方面,因为达成共识本身就是一件好事。从社会判断理论和实验中,我们知道,人类要么倾向于出于规范和信息的原因与他人达成一致,但另一方面,对不同意见的人有一定的信心。在连续观点动力学模型的框架下,我们要问,哪些结构性条件促进了共识的达成?我们提出的证据,通过模拟,使更多的问题,但只有在预算限制的问题。此外,召开会议,让每个人都能听到所有的意见,这比依靠流言蜚语产生更好的影响。

英文摘要:

Social consensus is important for society. Sometimes the success of society depends on a consensus (e.g. the decision to pay taxes or to commit to the constitution). Examples for continuous opinion dynamics are discussions about tax rates or budget plan proposals for governments investments. Another example is a commission of experts which should reach a estimate about a certain issue, e.g. the tax revenues of the next year. In all these situations we got a group of agents which should reach a common agreement either for reaching a good approximation to the truth but on the other hand for the reason, that reaching consensus is a good in itself. From social judgment theory and experiments we know that humans either tend to agreement with others for normative and informational reasons but on the other hand have bounded confidence against others with differing opinions. In a framework of models of continuous opinion dynamics we ask, which structural conditions foster the achievement of consensus? We present evidence by simulation that bringing more issues in does, but only if the issues are under budget constraints. Further, the installation of meetings where everyone hears all opinions has a better impact than relying on gossip.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑