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arXiv 0705.0969cs.AI
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基于人工神经网络和支持向量机的需水量时间序列预测

Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machines for Water Demand Time Series Forecasting

Indian Institute of Technology(印度理工学院)

Ishmael S. Msiza, Fulufhelo V. Nelwamondo, Tshilidzi Marwala

摘要:

水在许多物理过程中起着关键作用,最重要的是维持人类生命,动物生命和植物生命。因此,供水实体有责任按照消费者要求的速度供应清洁和安全的水。因此,有必要建立可用于预测短期和长期水需求的机制和系统。日益增长的计算智能技术领域已被提出作为一种有效的工具,在建模的动态现象。本文的主要目的是比较两种计算智能技术在需水量预测中的效率。所比较的技术是人工神经网络(ANN)和支持向量机(SVMs)。在这项研究中,观察到ANN比SVM表现得更好。这种表现是衡量对两个的概括能力。

英文摘要:

Water plays a pivotal role in many physical processes, and most importantly in sustaining human life, animal life and plant life. Water supply entities therefore have the responsibility to supply clean and safe water at the rate required by the consumer. It is therefore necessary to implement mechanisms and systems that can be employed to predict both short-term and long-term water demands. The increasingly growing field of computational intelligence techniques has been proposed as an efficient tool in the modelling of dynamic phenomena. The primary objective of this paper is to compare the efficiency of two computational intelligence techniques in water demand forecasting. The techniques under comparison are the Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and the Support Vector Machines (SVMs). In this study it was observed that the ANNs perform better than the SVMs. This performance is measured against the generalisation ability of the two.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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