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arXiv physics/9908014physics.data-anmath.PRphysics.ed-ph
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物理课程中的统计教学:统一和澄清主观概率的作用

Teaching statistics in the physics curriculum: Unifying and clarifying role of subjective probability

G. D'Agostini

摘要:

主观概率是基于直觉的想法,概率量化的程度,相信一个事件会发生。基于这一思想的概率论代表了处理不确定性的最一般框架。简要介绍了主观概率和贝叶斯推断,评论了典型的误解,往往怀疑它和其他方法的比较。

英文摘要:

Subjective probability is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief that an event will occur. A probability theory based on this idea represents the most general framework for handling uncertainty. A brief introduction to subjective probability and Bayesian inference is given, with comments on typical misconceptions which tend to discredit it and comparisons to other approaches.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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