头顶上的屋顶; UK和爱尔兰的房价达到顶峰
A Roof over your Head; House Price Peaks in the UK and Ireland
摘要：
根据Roehner最近的研究，我们分析了英国和爱尔兰房价的变化。我们的结论是，伦敦的房价已经达到了一个临界点，未来几年房价相对于通胀率将下降。如果通货膨胀不上升，那么硬着陆似乎是可能的。爱尔兰共和国的房价已经摆脱了北爱尔兰的温和上涨，都柏林已经成为另一个全球“热点”。都柏林房价的演变与伦敦相似，这是可以预见的。关键词：经济物理学，房价，房地产，预测PACS：89. 65. Gh，89. 90.+ n
英文摘要：
We analyse, following recent work of Roehner, changes in house prices for both the UK and Ireland. We conclude that prices in London have reached a tipping point and prices relative to inflation are set to fall over the next few years. If inflation does not rise then a hard landing seems likely. House prices in the Irish Republic are shown to have broken away from the moderate rise still to be found in Northern Ireland and Dublin has emerged as another global 'hot spot'. An evolution of Dublin house prices similar to that in London can be anticipated. Keywords: Econophysics, house prices, real estate, prediction PACS: 89.65.Gh, 89.90.+n
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