arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv physics/0506098physics.soc-phq-fin.ST
收藏

股票力学:预测S& P500、DJIA和NASDAQ的衰退

Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ

Caglar Tuncay

摘要:

本文提出了一种新的预测汇率的方法,即假定价格的势能和动能以及势能和动能之和守恒。显示了与幂律的连接。在标准普尔500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克指数上的半经验应用预测了它们即将到来的衰退。作为一个新兴市场,伊斯坦布尔证券交易所指数ISE-100被发现有继续上涨的潜力。

英文摘要:

An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock Exchange index ISE-100 is found involving a potential to continue to rise.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑