ITER:国际热核聚变实验反应堆和热核聚变能源系统对核武器扩散的影响
ITER: The International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor and the nuclear weapons proliferation implications of thermonuclear-fusion energy systems
摘要:
本报告包括两个部分:(1)一份“要点”清单,着重说明国际热核实验反应堆(ITER)极有可能设在日本的战略政治和军事技术原因及其影响,这一点有时应在2004年初得到确认。(2)对惯性约束和磁约束聚变系统的核武器扩散影响进行技术分析,证实第一部分强调的技术要点,并表明,虽然充分利用热核武器物理学是ICF的主要影响,但充分利用大规模氚技术是MCF的主要扩散影响。该报告的结论是,将ITER选址在日本这样的国家,已经拥有大量分离钚储备,以及雄心勃勃的激光驱动ICF计划(在规模和质量上与美国或法国相当),将大大增加其潜在(或虚拟)核武器扩散状态,并促进世界各地的进一步核扩散。
英文摘要:
This report contains two parts: (1) A list of "points" highlighting the strategic-political and military-technical reasons and implications of the very probable siting of ITER (the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor) in Japan, which should be confirmed sometimes in early 2004. (2) A technical analysis of the nuclear weapons proliferation implications of inertial- and magnetic-confinement fusion systems substantiating the technical points highlighted in the first part, and showing that while full access to the physics of thermonuclear weapons is the main implication of ICF, full access to large-scale tritium technology is the main proliferation impact of MCF. The conclusion of the report is that siting ITER in a country such as Japan, which already has a large separated-plutonium stockpile, and an ambitious laser-driven ICF program (comparable in size and quality to those of the United States or France), will considerably increase its latent (or virtual) nuclear weapons proliferation status, and foster further nuclear proliferation throughout the world.
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