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arXiv math/0703887math.STmath.PRstat.TH

Parametric estimation for planar random flights observed at discrete times

Alessandro De Gregorio

英文摘要:

We deal with a planar random flight $\{(X(t),Y(t)),0<t\leq T\}$ observed at $n+1$ equidistant times $t_i=iΔ_n,i=0,1,...,n$. The aim of this paper is to estimate the unknown value of the parameter $λ$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process. The planar random flights are not markovian, then we use an alternative argument to derive a pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator $\hatλ$ of the parameter $λ$. We consider two different types of asymptotic schemes and show the consistency, the asymptotic normality and efficiency of the estimator proposed. A Monte Carlo analysis for small sample size $n$ permits us to analyze the empirical performance of $\hatλ$. A different approach permits us to introduce an alternative estimator of $λ$ which is consistent, asymptotically normal and asymptotically efficient without the request of other assumptions.

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