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arXiv math/0609720math.PR

Vitesse de Convergence dans le Théorème Limite Central pour Chaînes de Markov de Probabilité de Transition Quasi-Compacte

Loïc Hervé

英文摘要:

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$, let $(X\_n)\_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $ξ$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S\_n = \sum\_{k=1}^{n} ξ(X\_k)$. Under functional hypotheses on the action of $Q$ and its Fourier kernels $Q(t)$, we investigate the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for the sequence $(\frac{S\_n}{\sqrt n})\_n$. According to the hypotheses, we prove that the rate is, either $O(n^{-\fracτ{2}})$ for all $τ<1$, or $O(n^{-{1/2}})$. We apply the spectral method of Nagaev which is improved by using a perturbation theorem of Keller and Liverani and a method of martingale difference reduction. When $E$ is not compact or $ξ$ is not bounded, the conditions required here are weaker than the ones usually imposed when the standard perturbation theorem is used. For example, in the case of $V$-geometric ergodic chains or Lipschitz iterative models, the rate of convergence in the c.l.t is $O(n^{-{1/2}})$ under a third moment condition on $ξ$.

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