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arXiv 2610.10435stat.AP

偏斜数据在线实验中分块设计的优势

On the Benefit of Blocking for Online Experiments with Skewed Data

  • Meta Platforms Inc(元平台公司)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

Abbas Zaidi, Matthew Reimherr, Rina Friedberg, Fabian Martinez, Richard Mudd

AI总结:

本文论证在线A/B测试中分块分配优于事后调整,虽精度提升有限(5-10%),但能避免偏差并局部化异常值,实现有效缩尾处理。

AI中文摘要:

本文主张在在线A/B测试中使用分块(分层)分配以处理高度偏斜的总体数据。尽管由于离散化的限制,分块仅带来适度的精度提升(5-10%),作者证明相较于事后统计调整,它提供了两个关键的结构性优势。首先,固定权重分块正确瞄准真实平均处理效应,避免了效率加权替代方案引入的严重偏差。其次,分块将极端异常值局部化,使得针对块内的缩尾处理能够有效控制噪声,同时不破坏尾端处理效应。

英文摘要:

This paper advocates for using blocked (stratified) assignment in online A/B tests to handle highly skewed population data. While blocking yields only modest precision gains (5-10%) due to the limits of discretization, the authors demonstrate it offers two crucial structural benefits over post-hoc statistical adjustments. First, fixed-weight blocking correctly targets the true average treatment effect, avoiding the severe bias introduced by efficiency-weighted alternatives. Second, blocking localizes extreme outliers, enabling targeted within-block winsorization that effectively controls noise without destroying the tail-end treatment effect.

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