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超越风险预测:面向可解释自杀风险评估的证据锚定与心理社会因素验证

Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment

Tianle Hu, Chen Peng, Yi-Hsin Tsai, Takshing Andy Tung, Bingyang Sun, Yenjou Wang

arXiv 2610.08842首次发表:更新:

发表机构

Daiichi Institute of Technology; Tokyo Gakugei University(第一工业大学; 东京学艺大学)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

本研究提出一个包含风险评估、证据锚定与因素识别的框架,利用长度路由和双验证器提升自杀风险预测的可解释性,实验显示其能提供风险等级、文本证据及细粒度心理社会因素信息。

AI 中文摘要

从社交网络服务(SNS)帖子中识别自杀风险,对于检测在线环境中的自杀相关信号具有重要意义。然而,仅进行风险分类,对预测背后的文本证据和心理社会因素提供的洞察十分有限。基于IEEE BigData 2026可解释自杀风险检测挑战赛,本研究提出了一个包含风险评估、证据锚定和因素识别三部分的框架。风险评估采用基于长度的路由机制,以适应不同长度的帖子。证据锚定识别支持性短语,并使用风险-证据约束来保持与风险预测的一致性。在因素识别方面,使用了两个验证器:分类验证器专注于因素语义,而证据感知验证器则利用特定于因素的词汇-语义线索来选择信息丰富的正向训练单元。两者的预测概率被合并以产生最终的因素预测。这三个任务使用各自特定的F1分数指标进行评估。风险评估的加权F1得分为0.8088,证据锚定的测试集宏行F1得分为0.7605,因素识别的宏F1得分为0.5562。结果表明,该框架能够提供风险预测,以及支持性的文本证据和关于心理社会因素的细粒度信息。总体而言,所提出的框架将自杀风险评估扩展到了风险水平预测之外,为SNS帖子提供了更具可解释性的分析。

英文摘要

Identifying suicide risk from social networking services (SNS) posts is important for detecting suicide-related signals in online environments. However, risk classification alone provides limited insight into the textual evidence and psychosocial factors behind a prediction. Based on the IEEE BigData 2026 Explainable Suicide Risk Detection Challenge, this study presents a framework consisting of Risk Assessment, Evidence Grounding, and Factor Identification. Risk Assessment uses length-based routing to accommodate posts of different lengths. Evidence Grounding identifies supporting phrases and uses a Risk-Evidence constraint to maintain consistency with the Risk prediction. For Factor Identification, two verifiers are used. The Taxonomy Verifier focuses on factor semantics, whereas the Evidence-Aware Verifier uses factor-specific lexical-semantic cues to select informative positive training units. Their prediction probabilities are combined to produce the final factor predictions. The three tasks are evaluated using task-specific F1 score measures. Risk Assessment achieved a Weighted F1 of 0.8088, Evidence Grounding achieved a test Macro row F1 of 0.7605, and Factor Identification achieved a Macro F1 of 0.5562. The results show that the framework can provide risk predictions, along with supporting textual evidence and fine-grained information on psychosocial factors. Overall, the proposed framework extends suicide-risk assessment beyond risk-level prediction and provides a more interpretable analysis of SNS posts.

Comments8 pages, 1 figure, 4 tables. Accepted at the 2nd Workshop on Mental Health Disorder Detection on Social Media (MHSM 2026), held in conjunction with IEEE ICDM 2026

论文原文

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