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社会物理学:宣言

Social Physics: A manifesto

János Kertész, Marc Barthelemy, Guido Caldarelli, Bikas K. Chakrabarti, Tiziana Di Matteo, Serge Galam, Marta Gonzales, Yurij Holovatch, Janusz A. Holyst, Sarika Jalan, Hawoong Jeong, Neil F. Johnson, Renaud Lambiotte, Linyuan Lü, Thomas Lux, Rosario N. Mantegna, Matjaz Perc, Jari Saramäki, Michael Small, Misako Takayasu, Taha Yasseri, Wei-Xing Zhou

arXiv 2610.08117首次发表:更新:

发表机构

Central European University; Université Paris-Saclay; CEA; CNRS; Institute of Complex Systems, CNR-ISC; Saha Institute of Nuclear Physics; Sciences Po; University of Berkeley; Yukhnovskii Institute for Condensed Matter Physics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine; Warsaw University of Technology; Indian Institute of Technology Indore; KAIST; George Washington University; University of Oxford; Christian Albrechts University of Kiel; Universitá degli Studi di Palermo; University of Maribor; Aalto University; University of Western Australia; Institute of Science Tokyo; Trinity College Dublin; East China University of Science and Technology(中欧大学; 巴黎萨克雷大学; 法国原子能和替代能源委员会; 法国国家科学研究中心; 意大利国家研究委员会复杂系统研究所; 萨哈核物理研究所; 巴黎政治学院; 加州大学伯克利分校; 乌克兰国家科学院尤赫诺夫斯基凝聚态物理研究所; 华沙理工大学; 印度理工学院印多尔分校; 韩国科学技术院; 乔治华盛顿大学; 牛津大学; 基尔大学; 巴勒莫大学; 马里博尔大学; 阿尔托大学; 西澳大学; 东京科学大学; 都柏林圣三一学院; 华东理工大学)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

本文宣言性回顾社会物理学领域,强调其跨学科量化研究集体行为的方法,总结其进展与局限,并提出以理论-数据互惠、因果解释和负责任治理为核心的未来发展纲领。

AI 中文摘要

社会物理学寻求对集体人类行为的量化、可实证检验的解释。其名称有着悠久且充满争议的历史,但其当代纲领既不是声称社会在字面意义上是物理系统,也不是试图用物理学取代社会科学。它是一种跨学科实践:观察与实验、模型构建、数学与计算分析,以及反复与数据对照。该领域已因数字痕迹分析、网络科学、基于智能体的建模、大规模实验以及跨经济、社会、技术、生物和物理层研究耦合动力学的能力而发生变革。我们回顾了金融分析与建模的进展;经济复杂性;社交网络的结构与演化;传播、观点和信息动力学;不平等、合作、冲突、流动性、城市、文化、科学和集体行为;以及新兴的人机生态系统研究。在这些领域中,常见特征反复出现——异质性、交互、反馈、适应、非平衡动力学、多尺度组织和涌现的集体结果。我们还直面该领域出现的局限性:便利样本、平台依赖性、因果识别薄弱、过度普适的主张、对意义和制度参与的不足、隐私风险,以及预测模型成为操纵工具的危险。我们提出一个未来的社会物理学,围绕理论-数据互惠性;因果和生成性解释;测量有效性和跨情境泛化;负责任、参与式的数据治理;真正的跨学科合作;以及对改变被观察系统的干预措施和算法的反思性研究来组织。

英文摘要

Social Physics seeks quantitative, empirically testable explanations of collective human behavior. Its name has a long and contested history, but its contemporary program is neither the claim that society is literally a physical system nor an attempt to replace the social sciences with physics. It is an interdisciplinary practice: observation and experimentation, model construction, mathematical and computational analysis, and repeated confrontation with data. The field has been transformed by analyzing digital traces, network science, agent-based modeling, large-scale experiments, and the capacity to study coupled dynamics across economic, social, technological, biological, and physical layers. We review advances in financial analysis and modeling; economic complexity; the structure and evolution of social networks; spreading, opinion, and information dynamics; inequality, cooperation, conflict, mobility, cities, culture, science, and collective behavior; and the emerging study of human-AI ecosystems. Across these domains, common features recur - heterogeneity, interaction, feedback, adaptation, non-equilibrium dynamics, multiscale organization, and emergent collective outcomes. We also confront the limitations that have arisen in this field: convenience samples, platform dependence, weak causal identification, over-universal claims, insufficient engagement with meaning and institutions, privacy risks, and the danger that predictive models become instruments of manipulation. We propose a future Social Physics organized around theory - data reciprocity; causal and generative explanation; measurement validity and cross-context generalization; responsible, participatory data governance; genuinely interdisciplinary collaboration; and reflexive study of interventions and algorithms that alter the systems being observed.

Comments35 pages Typo in the authors' list corrected

论文原文

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