发表机构
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校斯克里普斯海洋研究所）
机构由 AI 辅助整理，请以论文原文为准。AI 中文总结
本文提出序贯边界估计（SBE）方法，利用五个时间不同步接收器的到达时间差，为219次海洋爆炸生成100%置信区间，盲评估显示全部爆炸均落在区间内，偶然概率极低。
AI 中文摘要
一种称为序贯边界估计（SBE）的非线性、非贝叶斯方法，利用海洋底部五个间隔分布、时间不同步的接收器对到达时间差的测量，为海洋中219次爆炸生成了100%置信区间的位置（CIL）。爆炸位置通过全球定位系统测量。盲评估显示，所有219次爆炸均位于其置信区间内。这一结果纯属偶然发生的概率为$4 \ imes 10^{-116}$。这些爆炸在美国东部大陆架的浅水区域引爆，即所谓的“新英格兰泥斑”区域。
英文摘要
A non-linear, non-Bayesian method called sequential bound estimation (SBE) derived 100% confidence intervals of location (CIL) for 219 explosions in the ocean from measurements of their time differences of arrivals among five widely-spaced time-unsynchronized receivers on the ocean bottom. The explosion's locations were measured with the global positioning system. A blind evaluation revealed all 219 explosions were within their CIL. The probability this could happen by chance is $4 \times 10^{-116}$. The explosions were detonated in shallow water on the eastern continental shelf of the U.S. over the so-called New England Mud Patch.
CommentsSubmitted to J. Acoust. Soc. Am. 13 August 2026. 36 pages, 10 figures
