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基于原则性Koopman表示与Kalman推断的高效时间序列预测

Principled Koopman Representations with Kalman Inference for Efficient Time-Series Prediction

Ruiquan Li, Yuheng Bu

arXiv 2609.17815首次发表:更新:

发表机构

UC Santa Barbara(加州大学圣塔芭芭拉分校)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

针对现有Koopman表示学习缺乏数学一致性和低秩结构的问题,提出K$^2$SVD方法,通过优化Hilbert-Schmidt目标学习主要奇异函数,结合Kalman滤波推断,实现高效且准确的时间序列预测。

AI 中文摘要

Koopman算子已广泛用于动力系统中的时间序列预测。然而,先前使用神经网络学习潜在“Koopman空间”的工作往往未能构建有效的Koopman空间用于预测,因为这些表示可能在数学上与算子理论公式不一致,并且无法捕捉系统动力学的内在低秩结构。为解决这一问题,我们提出了K$^2$SVD方法,通过优化Hilbert-Schmidt目标显式学习Koopman算子的主要奇异函数。这产生了具有可解释线性组合的明确定义的Koopman算子低秩近似,其紧凑潜在空间维度不到先前工作的$10\%$。在学习到的Koopman空间中,K$^2$SVD进一步通过线性高斯状态空间模型捕捉时间演化,并通过Kalman滤波进行推断,减轻了多步预测中的噪声累积。实验结果表明,K$^2$SVD在多个数据集上优于最先进的方法,且预测速度显著更快,计算成本低于先前注重效率的模型。这凸显了原则性低秩Koopman表示的益处,并为其应用开辟了更广泛的潜力。

英文摘要

The Koopman operator has been widely used for time-series prediction in dynamical systems. However, prior work that learns latent ``Koopman spaces'' using neural networks often did not construct a valid Koopman space for forecasting, as these representations may be mathematically inconsistent with the operator-theoretic formulation and fail to capture the intrinsic low-rank structure of system dynamics. To address this issue, we introduce K$^2$SVD, a method that explicitly learns the leading singular functions of the Koopman operator by optimizing a Hilbert-Schmidt objective. This yields a well-defined low-rank approximation of the Koopman operator with an interpretable linear combination, featuring a compact latent space with less than $10\%$ of the dimensions used in previous work. In the learned Koopman space, K$^2$SVD further captures temporal evolution with a linear Gaussian state-space model and performs inference via Kalman filtering, mitigating noise accumulation during multi-step prediction. Empirical results show that K$^2$SVD outperforms state-of-the-art methods across multiple datasets, with significantly faster prediction speeds and lower computational cost than previous efficiency-focused models. This highlights the benefits of principled low-rank Koopman representations and opens up broader potential for applications.

论文原文

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