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arXiv 2609.15756astro-ph.EP

潜在危险近地天体2024 YR4的热物理表征

Thermophysical characterization of the potentially hazardous near-Earth object 2024 YR4

T. G. Müller, E. M. MacLennan, A. Y. Burdanov, B. J. Holler, A. S. Rivkin, J. de Wit, P. Pravec, M. Micheli, K. Muinonen, D. Farnocchia

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中文总结 AI 辅助

本研究利用JWST光变数据约束了潜在危险近地天体2024 YR4的自转、形状和热物理性质,确定了其直径约61米、自转周期约19.5分钟,为未来类似天体提供了基准。

中文摘要 AI 辅助

小行星2024 YR4是一颗潜在危险的阿波罗型近地天体。其高偏心轨道导致大约每4年与地月系统发生一次近距离交会。包括JWST-NIRCam数据在内的一组光变曲线,使我们能够约束该天体的自转周期、自转极和凸形状解。我们分析了2025年3月26日在三个滤光片下获得的两组JWST-MIRI观测数据。提取的光度测量揭示了由自转驱动的热通量变化。通过光变曲线反演得到的自旋-形状模型与绝对校准的3波段中红外光变曲线相结合,由一个凸自旋-形状解很好地再现,该解的自转极位于(l,b) = (232, -11),恒星周期为19.4633分钟,轴比为a/b ~1.28和b/c ~1.45。相应的等效体积直径为60.8 +1.8/-3.6米(假设HV = 24.14±0.25星等,则pV = 0.11 +0.05/-0.03)。解释观测到的MIRI数据需要高热惯量和低表面粗糙度。近地小行星热模型对该天体的可靠性有限,需要极端的光束参数>3,而快速自转模型和完整的热物理模型则提供了一致且可靠的大小和反照率估计。高偏心率和高热惯量的组合意味着季节性皮肤深度可达约3米,辐射时间尺度为数周至数月。尽管由于2025年3月观测时接近赤道正对的观测几何,季节性加热可以忽略不计,但季节性雅科夫斯基漂移预计将主导昼夜分量,并可能在未来的交会期间变得可测量。尽管2026年2月的JWST天体测量排除了至少100年内撞击地球或月球的任何可能性,但本文提出的自转、形状和辐射测量约束为未来潜在危险天体提供了重要的基准。

英文摘要

The asteroid 2024 YR4 is a potentially hazardous Apollo-type near-Earth object. Its highly eccentric orbit produces close Earth-Moon encounters roughly every 4 years. A collection of light curves, including JWST-NIRCam data, allowed us to constrain the rotation period, spin pole, and convex shape solutions for the object. We analyzed two sets of JWST-MIRI observations obtained in three filters on 26 March 2025. The extracted photometry reveals rotationally driven thermal flux variations. The combination of a spin-shape model from light-curve inversion and the absolutely calibrated 3-band MIR light curves is well reproduced by a convex spin-shape solution with a spin pole at (l,b) = (232, -11), a sidereal period of 19.4633 min, and axis ratios of a/b ~1.28 and b/c ~1.45. The corresponding equivalent-volume diameter is 60.8 +1.8/-3.6 m (pV= 0.11 +0.05/-0.03, assuming HV = 24.14+/-0.25 mag). A high thermal inertia and low surface roughness are required to explain the observed MIRI data. The near-Earth asteroid thermal model has limited reliability for this object, requiring an extreme beaming parameter >3, whereas the fast-rotating model and a full thermophysical model provide consistent and reliable estimates of the size and albedo. The combination of high eccentricity and high thermal inertia implies seasonal skin depths of up to ~3 m and radiative timescales of weeks to months. Although seasonal heating is negligible for the March 2025 observations because of the near-equator-on viewing geometry, the seasonal Yarkovsky drift is expected to be dominant over the diurnal component and might become measurable during future encounters. Although JWST astrometry from February 2026 rules out any possible impact on the Earth or the Moon for at least 100 years, the spin, shape, and radiometric constraints presented here provide an important benchmark for future potentially hazardous objects.

发表机构

  • Max-Planck-Institut für extraterrestrische Physik (MPE)(德国马克斯·普朗克地外物理学研究所)
  • University of Helsinki(赫尔辛基大学)
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院)
  • Space Telescope Science Institute(太空望远镜科学研究所)
  • Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory(约翰斯·霍普金斯大学应用物理实验室)
  • Astronomical Institute, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic(捷克科学院天文研究所)
  • ESA NEO Coordination Centre(欧洲空间局近地天体协调中心)
  • Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology(加州理工学院喷气推进实验室)

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