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带借贷约束的消费对利率的响应:一种分析方法

The Response of Consumption to Interest Rates with Borrowing Constraints: An Analytical Approach

Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup

arXiv 2609.09888首次发表:更新:

发表机构

Banque de France(法国银行)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

本文通过解析方法证明,在借贷约束下,当初始财富超过阈值时,消费对利率上升的响应为正,且预防性储蓄和低跨期替代弹性会强化这一效应。

AI 中文摘要

我推导出一个显式映射,将初始资产、收入和实际利率映射到消费,该映射适用于具有借贷约束和CARA效用的收入波动问题。我证明存在一个初始财富阈值,超过该阈值,部分均衡下消费对实际利率永久性上升的响应为正,这与近期的经验证据一致。我进一步证明,预防性储蓄强化了挤入的可能性,并且当跨期替代弹性严格小于1时,正响应的可能性扩展到更标准的CRRA效用。

英文摘要

I derive an explicit mapping from initial assets, income and the real interest rate to consumption for an income fluctuation problem with a borrowing constraint and CARA utility. I show that there exists a threshold of initial wealth over which the partial equilibrium consumption response to a permanent increase in the real interest rate is positive, consistent with recent empirical evidence. I further show that precautionary savings reinforce the possibility of crowding in and that the possibility of a positive response extends to a more standard CRRA utility whenever the elasticity of intertemporal substitution is strictly less than 1.

论文原文

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