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聚合物生产工厂中考虑强制联产品的耦合感知销售与运营规划

Coupling-Aware Sales and Operations Planning with Forced Co-Production in Polymer Production Plants

Mansur Arief, Yan Pratama Akhra, Bilal Ahmadi, Pradipta Apsarini, Iwan Vanany

arXiv 2608.24399首次发表:更新:

AI 中文总结

针对聚合物工厂耦合特性破坏传统S&OP指标的问题,提出AGPPC框架及相关模型,经实际数据验证可显著提升营业利润。

AI 中文摘要

销售与运营规划(S&OP)中,单产品毛利率等盈利指标是产品优先级排序的标准工具,这类指标基于生产线可独立分配的前提,赋予规划人员易于计算和使用的单位吨排名。但耦合工厂(尤其是并行生产线共用单一大宗原料的聚合物工厂)会从根本上破坏该前提,导致制定出损害价值的生产计划。本文提出一种基于产品集群增广毛利率(AGPPC)的框架,将单位吨排名指标转换为单位耦合小时排名,该排名带有实例级最优性证明。我们阐述AGPPC的理论,其将联产品列概念与规划问题的流体松弛相结合,同时构建工厂的集成双线性混合整数规划模型及经McCormick线性化的基线模型,为其提供有保证的界。通过印度尼西亚某聚合物生产商的实际运营数据验证,耦合感知指标单独可使营业利润提升7.6%,完整优化方案较当前实践提升28%。

英文摘要

Profitability metrics, such as the single-product gross profit margin, constitute the standard toolbox to prioritize products in sales and operations planning (S&OP). These metrics leverage the premise that production lines can be committed independently, which endows them with a simple per-ton ranking that a planner can compute and use easily in practice. However, coupled plants, especially polymer plants whose parallel lines draw simultaneously on a single bulk feed, can fundamentally undermine this premise and mislead to value-destroying production plans. We propose a framework built on what we call the Augmented Gross Profit for Product Clusters (AGPPC), which converts the per-ton ranking metric into a per-coupled-hour ranking that carries a per-instance optimality certificate. We present the theory of AGPPC, which combines the co-production column concept with a fluid relaxation of the planning problem, alongside an integrated bilinear mixed integer program of the plant and a McCormick-linearized baseline that provides certified bounds for it, and we demonstrate its effectiveness on real operational data from an Indonesian polymer producer, where the coupling-aware metric alone raises operating profit by 7.6% and the full optimization by 28% over current practice.

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