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法律AI能知道自己何时出错吗?学生能知道自己何时出错吗?

Can Legal AI Know When It Is Wrong? And Do Students Know When It Is?

Angel Mary John, Vipin Kumar Singh, Jerrin Thomas Panachakel

arXiv 2608.21089首次发表:更新:

发表机构

Sunrise University; Technological University Dublin(日出大学; 都柏林理工大学)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

该研究针对法律AI的过度自信问题,测试了ChatGPT等模型的高置信度错误率,调查了印度法律学生的相关认知,提出需调整教学法并构建基于来源的验证架构以防范风险。

AI 中文摘要

将大语言模型(LLMs)整合进印度司法体系有望实现司法公正,但也带来了严重风险。我们识别出“置信惯性”这一类似邓宁-克鲁格效应的过度自信现象,即LLMs因假设的“先例过拟合”偏差,在提供错误法律判决时仍保持接近最大值的置信度。我们的社会技术审计第一阶段在由60个案件组成的测试集上测试了ChatGPT(GPT-5.2)、Meta AI和Perplexity AI,这些案件涉及1872年《印度合同法》以及特定履行的法定执行转向。我们引入高置信度错误率(HCER)以量化以危险确定性(1-10分制中≥9分)给出的错误判决。所有模型在法定更新问题上表现不佳,其中Meta AI最易受影响(HCER为31.7%),其平均置信度达9.1/10,频繁误用修正案前的规则;其次是Perplexity(15.0%)和ChatGPT(6.7%)。第二阶段通过对印度法律学生(N=380)的调查,研究人类对这种过度自信的脆弱性。验证通常作为对机器幻觉的被动适应:遇到编造引用的学生报告的验证分数(4.2/5)高于未遇到此类情况的学生(2.8/5)。此外,虽然81.6%的学生知道提交幻觉案件可能导致藐视法庭,但71.1%的学生未接受过关于道德AI使用的正式培训。我们建议转向对抗性法律研究教学法,并实施基于来源的验证架构,以防止系统性职业过失。

英文摘要

Integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) into the Indian judiciary promises access to justice but introduces severe risks. We identify the 'inertia of confidence'--an overconfidence phenomenon analogous to the Dunning-Kruger effect where LLMs provide incorrect legal verdicts with near-maximum confidence, driven by a hypothesized 'precedent overfitting' bias. Phase I of our socio-technical audit tested ChatGPT (GPT-5.2), Meta AI, and Perplexity AI on a 60-case battery regarding the Indian Contract Act, 1872, and the shift toward statutory enforcement of specific performance. We introduce the High-Confidence Error Rate (HCER) to quantify incorrect verdicts delivered with dangerous certainty (>= 9 on a 1-10 scale). All models struggled with statutory updates. Meta AI proved most vulnerable (31.7% HCER), frequently misapplying pre-amendment rules with a 9.1/10 mean confidence, followed by Perplexity (15.0%) and ChatGPT (6.7%). Phase II investigated human vulnerability to this overconfidence via a survey of Indian law students (N=380). Verification often functions as a reactive adaptation to machine hallucinations: students encountering fabricated citations reported higher verification scores (4.2/5) than those with no such encounters (2.8/5). Furthermore, while 81.6% knew submitting hallucinated cases can lead to contempt-of-court, 71.1% received no formal training on ethical AI use. We propose shifting toward adversarial legal research pedagogy and implementing source-grounded verification architectures to prevent systemic professional negligence.

论文原文

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