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经济衰退中人力资本阶梯的崩溃

The Collapse of Human Capital Ladders in Recessions

Edoardo Maria Acabbi, Andrea Alati, Luca Mazzone

arXiv 2607.29210首次发表:更新:

AI 中文总结

该研究利用行政数据,构建含总风险与工人-企业异质性的定向搜索模型,发现经济衰退扭曲工人-企业匹配,其相关扭曲约占累计产出损失的35%。

AI 中文摘要

我们利用行政数据证实,工人在生产率更高的企业能积累更多人力资本。经济衰退会扭曲工人与企业的匹配,拉平职业阶梯并影响人力资本积累,因为工人平均会匹配到更差的企业。为量化这些效应的总体重要性,我们构建了含总风险与工人-企业异质性的定向搜索模型,其中人力资本积累取决于企业质量。我们估计该模型后发现,经济衰退会对工人-企业匹配的生产率产生持续负面影响,匹配扭曲与人力资本积累扭曲约占累计产出损失的35%。

英文摘要

Using administrative data, we document that workers acquire more human capital at more productive firms. Recessions distort workers-firm sorting, flatten the job ladder and impact human capital accumulation, as workers match on average to worse firms. To quantify the aggregate relevance of these effects, we build a directed search model with aggregate risk and worker-firm heterogeneity, in which human capital accumulation depends on firm quality. We estimate the model and show that recessions have persistent negative effects on the productivity of worker-firm matches, with distortions in sorting and human capital accumulation accounting for approximately 35% of cumulative output losses.

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