模拟科罗拉多州众议院的单一可转移投票
Simulating Single Transferable Voting for the Colorado House of Representatives
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中文总结 AI 辅助
研究科罗拉多州众议院采用多成员选区和单一可转移投票（STV）对政党代表情况的影响，通过生成选区划分方案、利用竞选结果生成排序选票并模拟STV，发现其比简单多数制更具比例代表性，为选举改革提供参考。
中文摘要 AI 辅助
社会选择理论研究表明，单一可转移投票（STV）能产生更具比例代表性的立法机构。我们旨在了解在科罗拉多州众议院采用多成员选区和STV排序选票会如何影响政党代表情况。通过生成10000个科罗拉多州多成员选区划分方案，利用2022年科罗拉多州总检察长竞选结果生成排序选票并模拟STV。模拟结果显示，相比当前的简单多数制，STV选举为民主党和共和党提供了更具比例的代表权。未来研究应探索STV的实施对科罗拉多州议会中种族和语言少数群体代表权的影响，为该州选举改革提供指导。
英文摘要
Social choice theory research demonstrates that single transferable voting (STV) results in more proportionally representative legislative bodies. We aim to understand how using multi-member districts and ranked ballots with STV would affect the representation of political parties in the Colorado House of Representatives. We investigated this objective by producing 10,000 multi-member districting plans of Colorado, generating ranked ballots for each of these plans using returns from the 2022 Colorado attorney general race, and simulating STV using these ballots. Our simulated STV elections for the Colorado House of Representatives gave more proportional representation for Democrats and Republicans than the current first-past-the-post system. Future research should explore how the implementation of STV would influence the representation of racial and language minority groups in the Colorado General Assembly to provide guidance on electoral reform in the state.
