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arXiv 2607.24324stat.MEmath.STstat.TH

高维线性模型的扩散自举法

Diffusion Bootstrap for High-Dimensional Linear Models

Ce Liang, Wei Ma

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中文总结 AI 辅助

研究高维线性模型中经典自举法的不足,提出基于扩散的配对自举法,通过学习生成律取代经验联合分布,经理论论证和实验验证,该方法能改善方差校准及I型错误校准。

中文摘要 AI 辅助

经典自举法在高维线性模型中表现不佳:配对自举法往往产生过度保守的推断,而残差自举法可能是反保守的,反映出方差校准中的系统性失败。我们提出一种基于扩散的配对自举法,用学习到的生成律取代经验联合分布。在得分近似假设下,我们使用互补的随机微分方程和偏微分方程论证建立了方差一致性。反例表明仅终端W4收敛不足以实现方差一致性。实验表明扩散配对自举法改善了方差校准,通常也改善了I型错误校准,包括在我们理论未涵盖的设置中。

英文摘要

Classical bootstrap methods can behave poorly in high-dimensional linear models: the pairs bootstrap often yields overly conservative inference, whereas the residual bootstrap can be anti-conservative, reflecting systematic failures in variance calibration. We propose a diffusion-based pairs bootstrap that replaces the empirical joint distribution with a learned generative law. We establish variance consistency under a score approximation assumption, using complementary SDE and PDE arguments. Counterexamples show that terminal $W_4$ convergence alone is insufficient for variance consistency. Experiments indicate that diffusion pairs bootstrap improves variance calibration and generally improves Type~I error calibration, including in settings not covered by our theory.

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