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SEP-PRISM数据:用于太阳高能粒子预报的多源数据集

SEP-PRISM Data: A multi-source dataset for solar energetic particle forecasting

Yian Yu, Yang Chen, Lulu Zhao, Kathryn Whitman, Ward Manchester, Tamas Gombosi

arXiv 2607.16160首次发表:更新:

AI 中文总结

针对太阳高能粒子事件预报整合异构观测的挑战,提出SEP-PRISM多源数据集,整合多种数据并对齐相关产品,经24小时窗口统计形成监督学习数据集,含14464个样本,支持空间天气预报多方面研究。

AI 中文摘要

太阳高能粒子(SEP)事件预报常需整合节奏、时间覆盖、格式和历史可用性各异的异构观测,给数据驱动方法的可重复分析带来挑战。本文介绍了SEP-PRISM数据,这是一个精心整理的多源数据集,用于提前24小时预报业务SEP事件,由GOES>10 MeV通道中质子通量超过10 pfu定义。它整合了耀斑记录、活动区磁场参数等多种数据,跨越1986年2月3日至2025年9月10日。为提升时间覆盖和跨源一致性,对相关产品进行了对齐处理。通过固定的24小时历史窗口统计形成监督学习数据集,包含14464个标记样本,旨在支持空间天气预报的可重复基准测试、模型开发等研究。

英文摘要

Solar energetic particle (SEP) event forecasting often involves integrating heterogeneous observations that differ in cadence, temporal coverage, format, and historical availability, posing challenges for reproducible analysis of data-driven approaches. This paper presents SEP-PRISM Data, a curated multi-source dataset designed for 24-hour ahead forecasting of operational SEP events, defined by proton flux exceeding 10 pfu in the GOES > 10 MeV channel. SEP-PRISM Data integrates flare records, active-region magnetic field parameters, coronal mass ejection (CME) catalogue data, GOES soft X-ray flux, and historical proton flux into a common window-based representation spanning 3 February 1986 to 10 September 2025. To improve temporal coverage and cross-source consistency, SHARP and SMARP magnetic products were aligned into a unified SMHARP archive, and CME records from DONKI and CDAW were aligned into a unified CDAWDONKI event set. Predictor variables were summarized over fixed non-overlapping 24-hour historical windows using minimum, mean, and maximum statistics and paired with targets defined over the subsequent 24-hour window, forming a supervised learning dataset. The resulting SEP-PRISM Data contains 14,464 labeled samples, including 650 positive operational SEP cases, and is intended to support reproducible benchmarking, model development, feature analysis, and future studies of space weather forecasting.

论文原文

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