多元宇宙分析、责任推诿与怀疑制造
Multiverse analysis, abdication of responsibility and manufacturing of doubt
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中文总结 AI 辅助
探讨多元宇宙分析适用于责任推诿与怀疑制造这两种不良用途，通过对2025年相关分析回顾及轶事证据说明问题存在，建议学界采用按最差单一宇宙评估及视规模大为弱点等惯例来减轻其负面影响。
中文摘要 AI 辅助
本文认为多元宇宙分析非常适合两种不良用途：研究人员对其结论的责任推诿以及怀疑制造。对2025年发表的多元宇宙分析的回顾提供了初步实证支持，表明文献中存在责任推诿现象，还提到有轶事证据显示多元宇宙被用于对新冠疫情预防措施制造怀疑。为减轻多元宇宙分析广泛使用带来的负面影响，建议学界采用两种评估多元宇宙分析的惯例：按其中最差的单一宇宙来评估多元宇宙，以及将多元宇宙的规模大视为弱点而非值得称赞的成就。
英文摘要
I argue that multiverse analysis is highly suited to two undesirable uses: abdication of researcher's responsibility for their conclusion and manufacturing of doubt. A review of multiverse analyses published in 2025 provides tentative empirical support that abdication of responsibility is present in the literature and I mention anecdotal evidence that multiverse has been used for manufacturing of doubt about Covid-19 precautions. To mitigate negative effects if multiverse analysis becomes widely used I suggest the community adopts two conventions for evaluating multiverse analyzes: evaluating multiverses by the single worst universe they contain and considering large size of a multiverse as a sign of weakness rather than a praiseworthy achievement.
