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本杰明尼-霍奇伯格程序在相关双边高斯检验中可能无法控制错误发现率

The Benjamini--Hochberg Procedure Can Fail to Control the FDR for Correlated Two-Sided Gaussian Tests

Edgar Dobriban

arXiv 2607.12208首次发表:更新:

发表机构

Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania(统计与数据科学系,宾夕法尼亚大学)

机构由 AI 辅助整理,请以论文原文为准。

AI 中文总结

研究表明本杰明尼-霍奇伯格程序在相关双边高斯检验中可能无法控制FDR,构建因子模型证明在α = 0.01时FDR > 0.0104,反驳了一个二十年的猜想,蒙特卡罗实验与理论相符,证明由GPT - 5.6 Pro获得并经作者检查。

AI 中文摘要

我们表明,对于相关的双边高斯p值,本杰明尼-霍奇伯格程序可能无法将错误发现率(FDR)控制在其名义水平。我们构建了一个因子模型,在α = 0.01的水平下,严格的区间算术证明表明,对于所有足够多的假设,FDR > 0.0104。这反驳了一个二十年来被广泛认为正确的猜想。蒙特卡罗实验与理论结果一致。证明由GPT - 5.6 Pro获得并经作者仔细检查。

英文摘要

We show that the Benjamini--Hochberg procedure can fail to control the false discovery rate (FDR) at its nominal level for correlated two-sided Gaussian $p$-values. We construct a factor model for which, at level $α=0.01$, a rigorous interval-arithmetic certificate proves $FDR>0.0104$ for all sufficiently large numbers of hypotheses. This disproves a conjecture widely believed to be true for twenty years. Monte Carlo experiments are consistent with the theoretical result. The proof was obtained by GPT-5.6 Pro and carefully checked by the author.

论文原文

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