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人工智能的经济效益与成本及缓解不平等影响的政策

The Economic Benefits and Costs of AI and Policies to Mitigate AI's Impact on Inequality

Matthew O. Jackson, Zafer Kanik

arXiv 2607.01101首次发表:更新:

AI 中文总结

研究AI生产率提升对劳动力再分配和工资的影响,分析竞争与垄断下AI生产的差异,并提出实现帕累托改进的最优税收与监管政策。

AI 中文摘要

我们研究了日益高效的AI及其在整个经济中传播利益政策的经济影响。AI生产率的提升引发劳动力再分配以及不同类型劳动力绝对和相对工资的变化。对于构建AI至关重要的劳动力,其工资增长快于整体GDP。被AI替代的劳动力,其工资在绝对和相对意义上均下降。仅用于最终产品生产且未被AI取代的劳动力,其工资与整体GDP同步增长。我们对比了AI生产处于竞争或垄断状态时生产率提升的影响。AI的垄断生产限制了其部署,减缓了转型和AI的影响。实现帕累托改进的最优税收和监管政策因AI生产是否存在竞争而异。

英文摘要

We examine the economic impact of increasingly productive AI and policies that spread its benefits across the economy. Improvements in AI productivity trigger labor reallocation and changes in absolute and relative wages for different types of labor. Wages of labor that is essential for building AI increase faster than overall GDP. Wages of labor that is substituted for by AI decrease in both absolute and relative terms. Wages of labor that is used only in final goods production and is not displaced by AI increase in line with overall GDP. We contrast the impact of productivity gains depending on whether AI production is competitive or monopolistic. Monopoly production of AI restricts its deployment, slowing the transition and impact of AI. Optimal tax and regulatory policies that achieve Pareto-improvements differ depending on whether there is competition in AI production.

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