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arXiv 2606.28186cs.CLcs.AIcs.CYcs.LG
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LLM推理轨迹中的认知片段实现可解释的人类项目难度预测

Cognitive Episodes in LLM Reasoning Traces Enable Interpretable Human Item Difficulty Prediction

Virginia Tech(弗吉尼亚理工大学);University of Maryland(马里兰大学);MBZUAI(穆桑大学人工智能研究所);University of Pittsburgh(匹兹堡大学)

Chenguang Wang, Ming Li, Xinyue Zeng, Zhuochun Li, Hong Jiao, Tianyi Zhou, Dawei Zhou

AI总结:

提出Epi2Diff框架,将大型推理模型的推理轨迹映射为认知片段序列,通过推理规模、努力分配和状态转换建模项目难度,在真实数据集上优于基线方法。

摘要:

预测人类项目难度是教育评估的核心,可靠的估计支持公平性和有效的测试构建。现有方法通常依赖于昂贵的人类校准或项目级文本表示,对导致项目难度的认知过程提供的证据有限。我们认为难度不仅应被视为项目文本的属性,还应被视为项目引发的解决问题负担的可观察结果。大型推理模型通过推理轨迹提供可扩展的过程证据,但此类证据必须结构化以支持可解释建模。为此,我们引入Epi2Diff(从片段到难度),一个将LRM推理轨迹映射为基于认知的片段序列的框架。这些片段将轨迹段分组为功能性的问题解决状态,从而通过推理规模、努力分配和状态转换对难度进行建模。Epi2Diff提取紧凑的片段动态特征,并将其与语义项目表示相结合,用于人类难度预测。在四个真实世界的人类难度数据集上的实验表明,Epi2Diff始终优于强基线,包括微调的小语言模型、LLM上下文学习和监督LLM适应。在SAT衍生的分类基准上,Epi2Diff相比监督LLM微调基线实现了8.1%的平均相对增益。进一步分析表明,较难的项目引发更费力、更迭代和更以实现为中心的片段动态,而不仅仅是更长的响应。这些结果表明,LRM推理轨迹中的认知片段为人类项目难度提供了可预测且可解释的过程表示,为使用推理模型的教育测量提供了新视角。

英文摘要:

Predicting human item difficulty is central to educational assessment, where reliable estimates support fairness and effective test construction. Existing methods often depend on costly human calibration or item-level textual representations, providing limited evidence about the cognitive processes that make items difficult. We argue that difficulty should be viewed not only as a property of item text, but also as an observable consequence of the problem-solving burden an item induces. Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) offer scalable process evidence through reasoning traces, but such evidence must be structured to support interpretable modeling. To this end, we introduce Epi2Diff (Episode to Difficulty), a framework that maps LRM reasoning traces into cognitively grounded episode sequences. These episodes group trace segments into functional problem-solving states, enabling difficulty to be modeled through reasoning scale, effort allocation, and state transitions. Epi2Diff extracts compact episode-dynamic features and combines them with semantic item representations for human difficulty prediction. Experiments on four real-world human difficulty datasets show that Epi2Diff consistently outperforms strong baselines, including fine-tuned small language models, LLM in-context learning, and supervised LLM adaptation. On SAT-derived classification benchmarks, Epi2Diff achieves an 8.1% average relative gain over supervised LLM fine-tuning baselines. Further analyses show that harder items induce more effortful, iterative, and implementation-centered episode dynamics, rather than merely longer responses. These results demonstrate that cognitive episodes in LRM reasoning traces provide a predictive and interpretable process representation for human item difficulty, offering a new lens for educational measurement with reasoning models.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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