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arXiv 2605.18878eess.SPcs.CVcs.LGeess.IV

心力衰竭再入院风险的肺部超声生物标志物预后价值:一项试点数据驱动分析

Prognostic Value of Lung Ultrasound Biomarkers for Readmission Risk in Congestive Heart Failure: A Pilot Data-Driven Analysis

Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);LSUHSC Internal Medicine(路易斯安那州立大学医学部);Cosmetic Surgery Facility LLC(美容外科诊所有限公司)
Jana Armouti, Laura Hutchins, Jacob Duplantis, Thomas Deiss, Thales Nogueira Gomes, Keyur H. Patel, Seema Walvekar, Shane Guillory, Thomas H. Fox, Amita Krishna… 展开作者

Jana Armouti, Laura Hutchins, Jacob Duplantis, Thomas Deiss, Thales Nogueira Gomes, Keyur H. Patel, Seema Walvekar, Shane Guillory, Thomas H. Fox, Amita Krishnan, Ricardo Rodriguez, Bennett DeBoisblanc, Deva Ramanan, John Galeotti, Gautam Gare

AI总结:

本研究通过数据驱动方法利用住院期间获得的B型肺部超声(LUS)数据,预测30天内心力衰竭再入院风险,发现依赖性下肺区域、时间差特征以及多视图特征拼接在预测中表现最佳,展示了超声生物标志物在非侵入性心力衰竭风险分层中的实用性。

摘要:

住院后30天内再入院是心力衰竭(CHF)导致发病率、死亡率和可避免医疗支出的主要驱动因素。当前的临床风险分层工具主要依赖于非成像数据,且预测性能有限。床旁肺部超声(LUS)提供了一个敏感的、非侵入性的窗口,以观察肺部充血,这特征于CHF失代偿,但其用于再入院预测的预后作用仍待探索。我们提出了一个试点可行性研究,这是首个系统使用住院期间获得的B型LUS进行机器学习预测30天内CHF再入院的系统研究。从预训练的Temporal Shift Module(TSM)ResNet-18编码器中提取定量时空嵌入,并分别评估可解释的生物标志物特征。通过结构化消融研究肺部视图、时间表示、多视图融合和跨肺增强,我们识别出驱动再入院风险的关键成像因素。我们的发现表明(1)依赖性下肺区域(左3、右3)携带最强的预后信号,与它们对静水性充血的更大易感性一致;(2)连续检查之间的时间差特征显著优于单时间点表示,突显了捕捉疾病轨迹的重要性;(3)多视图特征拼接产生了最佳整体性能,我们的最佳MLP模型实现了F1得分为0.80(95% CI: 0.62-0.96)。生物标志物分析进一步表明,胸膜线异常,包括断裂和凹陷,的信息量与传统A线和B线标志物相当。这些结果支持POCUS衍生的生物标志物作为实用、可解释的非侵入性CHF风险分层工具。

英文摘要:

Hospital readmission within 30 days of discharge is a leading driver of morbidity, mortality, and avoidable healthcare expenditure in congestive heart failure (CHF). Current clinical risk stratification tools rely primarily on non-imaging data and exhibit limited predictive performance. Point-of-care lung ultrasound (LUS) offers a sensitive, noninvasive window into the pulmonary congestion that characterizes CHF decompensation, yet its prognostic utility for readmission prediction remains largely unexplored. We present a pilot feasibility study, the first systematic machine learning study using B-mode LUS acquired during hospitalization to predict 30-day CHF readmission. Quantitative spatiotemporal embeddings are extracted from a pretrained Temporal Shift Module (TSM) ResNet-18 encoder, and interpretable biomarker features are separately evaluated. Through structured ablations over lung view, temporal representation, multi-view fusion, and cross-lung augmentation, we identify the key imaging factors driving readmission risk. Our findings reveal that (1) dependent lower-lung regions (Left-3, Right-3) carry the strongest prognostic signal, consistent with their greater susceptibility to hydrostatic congestion; (2) temporal difference features between sequential examinations substantially outperform single-timepoint representations, highlighting the importance of capturing disease trajectory; and (3) multi-view feature concatenation yields the best overall performance, with our top MLP model achieving an F1 score of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.62-0.96). Biomarker analysis further reveals that pleural-line abnormalities, including breaks and indentations, are as informative as the canonical A-line and B-line markers. These results support POCUS-derived biomarkers as practical, interpretable tools for noninvasive CHF risk stratification.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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