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arXiv 2604.10414cs.CVcs.LG

神经随机过程用于卫星降水精修

Neural Stochastic Processes for Satellite Precipitation Refinement

Shunya Nagashima, Takumi Bannai, Shuitsu Koyama, Tomoya Mitsui, Shuntaro Suzuki

AI总结:

本文提出神经随机过程模型,结合神经过程编码器和潜在神经SDE,提升卫星降水估计精度,优于13种基线方法,且在不同地区验证有效性。

摘要:

准确的降水估计对洪水预报、水资源管理和灾害准备至关重要。卫星产品提供全球每小时覆盖,但存在系统性偏差;地面观测站精度高但分布稀疏,难以直接修正。现有方法通过插值观测站数据到卫星网格,但每个时间步独立处理,丢弃降水场的时序结构。我们提出神经随机过程(NSP),结合神经过程编码器和潜在神经SDE,训练于单个变分目标,无需模拟。我们还引入QPEBench基准,包含43,756个小时样本,覆盖美国连通地区(2021-2025),包含四个对齐数据源和六个评估指标。在QPEBench上,NSP在所有六个指标上优于13种基线方法,超越JAXA的运营观测站校准产品。此外,对日本九州的额外实验验证了在不同地区的一般化能力。

英文摘要:

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at point locations but too sparse for direct gridded correction. Existing methods fuse these sources by interpolating gauge observations onto the satellite grid, but treat each time step independently and therefore discard temporal structure in precipitation fields. We propose Neural Stochastic Process (NSP), a model that pairs a Neural Process encoder conditioning on arbitrary sets of gauge observations with a latent Neural SDE on a 2D spatial representation. NSP is trained under a single variational objective with simulation-free cost. We also introduce QPEBench, a benchmark of 43{,}756 hourly samples over the Contiguous United States (2021--2025) with four aligned data sources and six evaluation metrics. On QPEBench, NSP outperforms 13 baselines across all six metrics and surpasses JAXA's operational gauge-calibrated product. An additional experiment on Kyushu, Japan confirms generalization to a different region with independent data sources.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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