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arXiv 2603.03484cs.LGcs.AI
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最优轨迹引导的随机共优化用于e-燃料系统设计和实时运行

Optimal trajectory-guided stochastic co-optimization for e-fuel system design and real-time operation

Department of Chemical Engineering(化学工程系);Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院);Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering(化学与生物分子工程系);Yonsei University(延世大学);Department of Chemical Engineering and Materials Science(化学工程与材料科学系);Ewha Womans University(成均馆大学);Institute for Multiscale Matter and Systems (IMMS)(多尺度物质与系统研究所)

Jeongdong Kim, Minsu Kim, Jonggeol Na, Junghwan Kim

AI总结:

MasCOR框架通过轨迹引导的随机共优化,实现e-燃料系统设计与实时运行的高效优化,适用于不同场景下的碳中性生产与成本控制。

摘要:

e-燃料是支持净零转型的有前途的长期能源载体。然而,可再生能源不确定性下的大规模组合设计-运行空间使得使用数学规划来共优化e-燃料生产系统变得不切实际。本文提出MasCOR,一个结合机器学习的共优化框架,通过学习全球操作轨迹进行学习。通过编码系统设计和可再生能源趋势,一个MasCOR代理能够跨多样配置和场景泛化动态运行,显著简化了在不确定性下的设计-运行共优化。与最先进的强化学习基线的基准比较显示了接近最优的性能,同时计算成本显著低于数学规划,使在共优化循环中能够快速并行评估设计。该框架能够快速筛选可行的设计空间及其相应的运行策略。当应用于四个潜在的欧洲站点以生产e-甲醇时,MasCOR显示大多数地点通过将系统负载降低到低于50兆瓦来实现碳中性甲醇生产,生产成本为每公斤1.0-1.2美元。相比之下,法国敦刻尔(Dunkirk)由于可再生能源供应有限和电网价格高,倾向于系统负载超过200兆瓦并扩展存储以利用动态电网交换和向市场销售氢气。这些结果突显了MasCOR框架在从系统设计到实时运行的特定地点指导方面的价值。

英文摘要:

E-fuels are promising long-term energy carriers supporting the net-zero transition. However, the large combinatorial design-operation spaces under renewable uncertainty make the use of mathematical programming impractical for co-optimizing e-fuel production systems. Here, we present MasCOR, a machine-learning-assisted co-optimization framework that learns from global operational trajectories. By encoding system design and renewable trends, a single MasCOR agent generalizes dynamic operation across diverse configurations and scenarios, substantially simplifying design-operation co-optimization under uncertainty. Benchmark comparisons against state-of-the-art reinforcement learning baselines demonstrate near-optimal performance, while computational costs are substantially lower than those of mathematical programming, enabling rapid parallel evaluation of designs within the co-optimization loop. This framework enables rapid screening of feasible design spaces together with corresponding operational policies. When applied to four potential European sites targeting e-methanol production, MasCOR shows that most locations benefit from reducing system load below 50 MW to achieve carbon-neutral methanol production, with production costs of 1.0-1.2 USD per kg. In contrast, Dunkirk (France), with limited renewable availability and high grid prices, favors system loads above 200 MW and expanded storage to exploit dynamic grid exchange and hydrogen sales to the market. These results underscore the value of the MasCOR framework for site-specific guidance from system design to real-time operation.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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