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arXiv 2602.19964cs.LGcs.AImath.PRstat.ML

关于随机网络蒸馏、深度集合和贝叶斯推断等价性的研究

On the Equivalence of Random Network Distillation, Deep Ensembles, and Bayesian Inference

Delft University of Technology(代尔夫特理工大学)

Moritz A. Zanger, Yijun Wu, Pascal R. Van der Vaart, Wendelin Böhmer, Matthijs T. J. Spaan

AI总结:

本文揭示了随机网络蒸馏与深度集合、贝叶斯推断在理论上的等价性,提出了基于贝叶斯RND的后验抽样算法,为不确定性量化提供了新的理论基础。

摘要:

不确定性量化是安全和高效部署深度学习模型的核心,然而许多计算上可行的方法缺乏严谨的理论动机。随机网络蒸馏(RND)是一种轻量级技术,通过与固定随机目标的预测误差来衡量新颖性。尽管在经验上有效,但仍然不清楚RND测量的不确定性是什么,以及其估计如何与其他方法,如贝叶斯推断或深度集合相关联。本文通过在无限网络宽度极限下分析RND,建立了这些缺失的理论联系。我们的分析揭示了在该极限下的两个核心发现:(1)RND的不确定性信号——其平方自预测误差——等同于深度集合的预测方差。(2)通过构建特定的RND目标函数,我们证明RND误差分布可以被调整以模仿宽神经网络的中心后验预测分布。基于这种等价性,我们进一步设计了一种后验抽样算法,该算法利用这种修改的贝叶斯RND模型生成i.i.d.样本,从而从精确的贝叶斯后验预测分布中生成样本。总体而言,我们的发现提供了一个统一的理论视角,将RND置于深度集合和贝叶斯推断的原理框架中,并为高效且理论上有根据的不确定性量化方法提供了新的途径。

英文摘要:

Uncertainty quantification is central to safe and efficient deployments of deep learning models, yet many computationally practical methods lack lacking rigorous theoretical motivation. Random network distillation (RND) is a lightweight technique that measures novelty via prediction errors against a fixed random target. While empirically effective, it has remained unclear what uncertainties RND measures and how its estimates relate to other approaches, e.g. Bayesian inference or deep ensembles. This paper establishes these missing theoretical connections by analyzing RND within the neural tangent kernel framework in the limit of infinite network width. Our analysis reveals two central findings in this limit: (1) The uncertainty signal from RND -- its squared self-predictive error -- is equivalent to the predictive variance of a deep ensemble. (2) By constructing a specific RND target function, we show that the RND error distribution can be made to mirror the centered posterior predictive distribution of Bayesian inference with wide neural networks. Based on this equivalence, we moreover devise a posterior sampling algorithm that generates i.i.d. samples from an exact Bayesian posterior predictive distribution using this modified \textit{Bayesian RND} model. Collectively, our findings provide a unified theoretical perspective that places RND within the principled frameworks of deep ensembles and Bayesian inference, and offer new avenues for efficient yet theoretically grounded uncertainty quantification methods.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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