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arXiv 2602.16573cs.LG
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MoDE-Boost:通过边缘-ready预测模型提升共享出行需求

MoDE-Boost: Boosting Shared Mobility Demand with Edge-Ready Prediction Models

University of Piraeus(比雷埃克斯大学)

Antonios Tziorvas, George S. Theodoropoulos, Yannis Theodoridis

AI总结:

MoDE-Boost通过边缘-ready预测模型提升共享出行需求预测,有效整合时间和上下文特征,提高共享出行服务效率。

摘要:

城市需求预测在优化智能交通系统中的路由、调度和拥堵管理中起着关键作用。通过利用数据融合和分析技术,交通需求预测成为识别新兴空间和时间需求模式的关键中间指标。在本文中,我们通过提出两种梯度提升模型变体来解决这一挑战,一种用于分类,一种用于回归,这两种模型都能在不同时间跨度上生成需求预测,从5分钟到一小时不等。我们的整体方法有效整合了时间和上下文特征,使预测更加准确,这对于提高共享(微)出行服务的效率至关重要。为了评估其有效性,我们利用来自五个大都市区e-scooter和e-bike网络的公开共享出行数据。这些真实世界的数据集使我们能够将我们的方法与最先进的方法以及基于生成AI的模型进行比较,证明了其在捕捉现代城市出行复杂性方面的有效性。最终,我们的方法为城市微出行管理提供了新的见解,帮助应对快速城市化带来的挑战,从而为更可持续、高效和宜居的城市做出贡献。

英文摘要:

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as a key intermediate measure for identifying emerging spatial and temporal demand patterns. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by proposing two gradient boosting model variations, one for classiffication and one for regression, both capable of generating demand forecasts at various temporal horizons, from 5 minutes up to one hour. Our overall approach effectively integrates temporal and contextual features, enabling accurate predictions that are essential for improving the efficiency of shared (micro-) mobility services. To evaluate its effectiveness, we utilize open shared mobility data derived from e-scooter and e-bike networks in five metropolitan areas. These real-world datasets allow us to compare our approach with state-of-the-art methods as well as a Generative AI-based model, demonstrating its effectiveness in capturing the complexities of modern urban mobility. Ultimately, our methodology offers novel insights on urban micro-mobility management, helping to tackle the challenges arising from rapid urbanization and thus, contributing to more sustainable, efficient, and livable cities.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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