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arXiv 2602.15730cs.CLecon.EM
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利用潜在文本干预进行因果效应估计

Causal Effect Estimation with Latent Textual Treatments

School of Computer Science and Engineering, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem(计算机科学与工程学院,特拉维夫大学);Department of Economics, Stanford University(斯坦福大学经济系);Graduate School of Business, Stanford University(斯坦福大学商学院)

Omri Feldman, Amar Venugopal, Jann Spiess, Amir Feder

AI总结:

本文提出了一种端到端流程,通过稀疏自编码器生成假设并引导,结合协变量残差化方法,解决文本作为治疗实验中的因果效应估计问题。

摘要:

理解文本对下游结果的因果效应是许多应用中的核心任务。估算此类效应需要研究者运行受控实验,系统地变化文本特征。虽然大型语言模型(LLMs)有潜力生成文本,但产生和评估受控变化需要更仔细的关注。在本文中,我们提出了一种端到端的流程,用于生成和因果估计潜在文本干预。我们的工作首先通过稀疏自编码器(SAEs)进行假设生成和引导,随后进行稳健的因果估计。我们的流程解决了文本作为治疗实验中的计算和统计挑战。我们证明了对因果效应的简单估计会因文本本质上混淆治疗和协变量信息而产生显著偏见。我们描述了在这种情况下产生的估计偏见,并提出基于协变量残差化的解决方案。我们的实证结果表明,我们的流程有效诱导了目标特征的变化并减轻了估计误差,为文本作为治疗设置的因果效应估计提供了稳健的基础。

英文摘要:

Understanding the causal effects of text on downstream outcomes is a central task in many applications. Estimating such effects requires researchers to run controlled experiments that systematically vary textual features. While large language models (LLMs) hold promise for generating text, producing and evaluating controlled variation requires more careful attention. In this paper, we present an end-to-end pipeline for the generation and causal estimation of latent textual interventions. Our work first performs hypothesis generation and steering via sparse autoencoders (SAEs), followed by robust causal estimation. Our pipeline addresses both computational and statistical challenges in text-as-treatment experiments. We demonstrate that naive estimation of causal effects suffers from significant bias as text inherently conflates treatment and covariate information. We describe the estimation bias induced in this setting and propose a solution based on covariate residualization. Our empirical results show that our pipeline effectively induces variation in target features and mitigates estimation error, providing a robust foundation for causal effect estimation in text-as-treatment settings.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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